RB Leipzig vs Köln – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
21/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga Women - Round 14
  • Referee: Scholz L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.18
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
71% (303/425)68% (234/343)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.18
xG on target (xGOT)
0.742.27
Total shots
916
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
310
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1220
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
71% (303/425)68% (234/343)
Long passes
35% (24/69)28% (19/68)
Passes in final third
56% (57/102)54% (74/136)
Crosses
8% (1/13)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.291.04
Throw-ins
2731
Fouls
1710
Tackles
55% (6/11)70% (7/10)
Duels won
3542
Clearances
2325
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
2.270.74
Goals prevented
1.270.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Magerl J. 🟨,
  • 20', Feiersinger L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bremer P. , Andrade L. ,
  • 48', 0 - 1, Jessen S. ,
  • 53', Achcinska A. 🟨,
  • 55', Krug V. 🟨,
  • 61', Baum L. 🟨,
  • 72', Chmielinski G. , Spitzner K. ,
  • 82', Achcinska A. , Hasenauer Z. ,
  • 84', Joly L. , Oteng P. ,
  • 88', Asgeirsdottir E. , Kadowaki M. ,
  • 90+3', Norheim A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Hasenauer Z. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Gerhardt A. , Bohnen A. ,
  • 90+7', Kadowaki M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
32.9%
Draw
25.2%
Köln
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 25.3% 41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 24% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • RB Leipzig - Köln Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.81)
    3.59
    (3.67)
    2.17
    (2.23)
    10.4%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 8).
    • RB Leipzig has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Köln has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Köln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Köln will win today's game, with odds of 2.27.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Köln were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Köln - RB Leipzig 0:2
    16.12.2024 Köln - RB Leipzig 1:3
    01.09.2024 RB Leipzig - Köln 2:1
    03.02.2024 RB Leipzig - Köln 2:1
    17.09.2023 Köln - RB Leipzig 2:1
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    Latest results of Köln
    14.12.2025 Köln - Carl Zeiss Jena 0:1
    08.12.2025 Hamburger SV - Köln 1:4
    23.11.2025 Werder Bremen - Köln 1:1
    16.11.2025 Sand - Köln 3:2
    09.11.2025 Köln - TSG Hoffenheim 1:0
    German Bundesliga Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich W20191079:67358
    2Wolfsburg W20152358:273147
    3Eintracht Frankfurt W21123652:361639
    4Hoffenheim W21112837:261135
    5Bayer Leverkusen W21111931:30134
    6Werder Bremen W1995529:28132
    7Freiburg W2193934:34030
    8Koln W2184925:28-328
    9Union Berlin W2175934:39-526
    10RB Leipzig W21741034:40-625
    111.FC Nurnberg W21541228:51-2319
    12Hamburger SV W21361223:50-2715
    13SGS Essen W21261316:50-3412
    14Jena W21241517:52-3510

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