Result
4:3
18/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.49 | 0.53 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 35 | 18 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 11.43% (4/35) | 16.67% (3/18) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 15 | 31 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 83.33% (15/18) | 88.57% (31/35) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 50% (1/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 54.39 | 45.61 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 01:11, 0 - 1, Raty Aku (G), Ruotsalainen V. (A), Junttila J. (A2)
- 02:39, Hakanpaa J. (2 min),
- 06:33, Ahlroth J. (2 min),
- 12:25, 1 - 1, Miettinen V. (G), Gallo V. (A), Davidsson M. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 2)
- 01:49, 2 - 1, Davidsson M. (G), Gallo V. (A), Miettinen V. (A2)
- 04:24, 2 - 2, Juusola V. (G), Raty Aku (A), Junttila J. (A2)
- 12:18, Ojantakanen K. (2 min),
- 14:16, 3 - 2, Gallo V. (G), Miettinen V. (A), Loponen K. (A2)
- 19:59, 3 - 3, Salmela T. (G), Erholtz E. (A), Hirvonen R. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 19', 4 - 3, Suomi J. (G),
Chances of winning
KooKoo
62.9% | Draw
19% | Kärpät
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KooKoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KooKoo's performance.Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kärpät might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KooKoo than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KooKoo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kärpät could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
KooKoo - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.75) |
4.9 ↑
(4.39) |
5.3 ↑
(3.69) |
6.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for KooKoo - Kärpät?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. KooKoo (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
KooKoo will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KooKoo won 3.
- KooKoo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kärpät's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- KooKoo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, KooKoo is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that KooKoo will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KooKoo won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 64:63. (average 3.2:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, KooKoo won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:29. (average 3.6:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has KooKoo won against Kärpät?
KooKoo has won 7 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against KooKoo?
Kärpät has won 10 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KooKoo - Kärpät were as follows:
28.11.2025
KooKoo
-
Kärpät
4:5
26.09.2025
Kärpät
-
KooKoo
3:6
19.02.2025
Kärpät
-
KooKoo
2:1
10.01.2025
KooKoo
-
Kärpät
5:3
27.11.2024
KooKoo
-
Kärpät
2:1
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
