Result
4:3 penalties
04/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 3.65 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 12.5% (3/24) | 10.34% (3/29) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 89.66% (26/29) | 87.5% (21/24) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 54.55 | 45.45 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 15:24, Parssinen J. (2 min),
- 18:47, 0 - 1, Siikonen M. (G), Berger J. (A), Grondahl A. (A2)
- 19:15, Virta P. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 05:30, 1 - 1, Antti-Roiko A. (G), Raty Aku (A), Hirvonen R. (A2)
- 06:08, 1 - 2, Paajanen O. (G), Luoto O. (A), Oden J. (A2)
- 06:08, Pietila B. (2 min),
- 13:19, 1 - 3, Gallo V. (G), Mazura T. (A),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 12:36, Paajanen O. (2 min),
- 16:48, 2 - 3, Kantner M. (G), Erholtz E. (A),
- 18:19, 3 - 3, Virta P. (G), Erholtz E. (A), Raty Aku (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- 03:21, Meskanen V. (Penalty Shot),
- Penalties (2 - 1)
- 1, Raty Aku (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Siikonen M. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Hirvonen R. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Miettinen V. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Kantner M. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Paajanen O. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Kärpät
28.1% | Draw
22.5% | KooKoo
49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)KooKoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KooKoo than the current prediction. (-4%)
Kärpät - KooKoo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↓
(3.44) |
4.05 ↓
(4.19) |
1.92 ↑
(1.85) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Kärpät - KooKoo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Kärpät (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kärpät (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 2.
- Kärpät has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- KooKoo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- KooKoo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- KooKoo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 63:64. (average 3.2:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 3.4:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against KooKoo?
Kärpät has won 10 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KooKoo won against Kärpät?
KooKoo has won 8 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - KooKoo were as follows:
18.02.2026
KooKoo
-
Kärpät
4:3
28.11.2025
KooKoo
-
Kärpät
4:5
26.09.2025
Kärpät
-
KooKoo
3:6
19.02.2025
Kärpät
-
KooKoo
2:1
10.01.2025
KooKoo
-
Kärpät
5:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
