Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Korona Kielce 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 3 - Group IV Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2
Result
3:1
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group IV - Round 7

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Mroz P. ,
  • 24', 2 - 0, Marszalik K. ,
  • 37', 2 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 76', 3 - 1, Szkiela M. ,

Chances of winning


Siarka Tarnobrzeg
43.2%
Draw
24.7%
Korona Kielce 2
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 24.3% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 24.4% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Siarka Tarnobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Siarka Tarnobrzeg's performance.
  • Korona Kielce 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Korona Kielce 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Siarka Tarnobrzeg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Korona Kielce 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.39)
    3.68
    (3.73)
    2.84
    (2.39)
    9.9%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).
    • Siarka Tarnobrzeg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Korona 2 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2 were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2 1:3
    02.10.2024 Korona Kielce 2 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1:3
    Polish Division 3 - Group IV Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski1375121:111026
    2Wislanie Skawina1382325:22326
    3Avia Swidnik1382328:181026
    4Wisloka Debica1364320:14622
    5Chelmianka Chelm1364319:16322
    6Star Starachowice1356219:15421
    7Siarka Tarnobrzeg1363426:19721
    8Cracovia II1363422:24-221
    9Lubaczow1355321:13820
    10Biala Podlaska1362524:23120
    11Korona Kielce II1352622:23-117
    12Stal Krasnik1344522:19316
    13Czarni Polaniec1351720:23-316
    14Naprzod Jedrzejow1343616:22-615
    15Swidniczanka Swidnik1333721:24-312
    16Wisla II1331920:33-1310
    17Kolbuszowa Dolna13211011:23-127
    18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka13211016:31-157

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation