Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Korona Kielce 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 3 - Group IV Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2
Result
3:1
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group IV - Round 7

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Mroz P. ,
  • 24', 2 - 0, Marszalik K. ,
  • 37', 2 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 76', 3 - 1, Szkiela M. ,

Chances of winning


Siarka Tarnobrzeg
43.2%
Draw
24.7%
Korona Kielce 2
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 24.3% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 24.4% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Siarka Tarnobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Siarka Tarnobrzeg's performance.
  • Korona Kielce 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Korona Kielce 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Siarka Tarnobrzeg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Korona Kielce 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.39)
    3.68
    (3.73)
    2.84
    (2.39)
    9.9%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).
    • Siarka Tarnobrzeg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Korona 2 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2 were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2 1:3
    02.10.2024 Korona Kielce 2 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1:3
    Polish Division 3 - Group IV Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski972018:71123
    2Avia Swidnik961221:13819
    3Wislanie Skawina961220:17319
    4Chelmianka Chelm953115:10518
    5Lubaczow1043318:13515
    6Biala Podlaska942317:15214
    7Cracovia II942316:18-214
    8Stal Krasnik941417:11613
    9Wisloka Debica1034312:12013
    10Star Starachowice934214:13113
    11Naprzod Jedrzejow933314:13112
    12Siarka Tarnobrzeg932413:15-211
    13Korona Kielce II931515:19-410
    14Czarni Polaniec930614:16-29
    15Kolbuszowa Dolna921611:17-67
    16Sparta Kazimierza Wielka921613:23-107
    17Swidniczanka Swidnik913512:17-56
    18Wisla II920716:27-116

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation