Result
2:0
28/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 23
- Referee: Kos D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 2.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (274/350) | 76% (258/341) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 2.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (274/350) | 76% (258/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (21/44) | 32% (19/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (62/89) | 64% (75/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 29% (12/41) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.97 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 54 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.12 | -0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Ndiaye M. ⚽, Luberecki F. (A),
- 30', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
- 34', 2 - 0, Czubak K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Smolarczyk B. ↓, Rubezic S. ↑,
- 46', Zwozny H. ↓, Remacle M. ↑,
- 49', Najemski A. 🟨,
- 67', Rubezic S. 🟨,
- 72', Gustafson S. ↓, Davidovic S. ↑,
- 72', Najemski A. ↓, Bartos M. ↑,
- 72', Ndiaye M. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
- 72', Labojko J. ↓, Samper S. ↑,
- 72', Antonin ↓, Cebula M. ↑,
- 76', Fabio Ronaldo 🟨,
- 82', Luberecki F. ↓, Meyer P. ↑,
- 82', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
- 87', Rodrigues I. 🟨,
- 89', Dlugosz W. ↓, Niski N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Motor Lublin
41.4% | Draw
28.3% | Korona Kielce
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motor Lublin's performance.Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Korona Kielce might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motor Lublin that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Korona Kielce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Motor Lublin - Korona Kielce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.5) |
3.28 ↑
(3.12) |
3.11 ↑
(2.5) |
6.6%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Korona Kielce?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Korona will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Korona (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Korona (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Korona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Motor: Plichta K.
(Inactive)
Scalet M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Korona: Matuszewski K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motor won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including home match between the teams, Motor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Korona Kielce?
Motor Lublin has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Motor Lublin?
Korona Kielce has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Korona Kielce were as follows:
23.08.2025
Korona Kielce
-
Motor Lublin
2:0
09.02.2025
Korona Kielce
-
Motor Lublin
1:0
04.08.2024
Motor Lublin
-
Korona Kielce
1:1
22.06.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Motor Lublin
1:1
08.07.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Motor Lublin
1:1
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:34 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 37:34 | 3 | 29 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:45 | 1 | 28 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Legia | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
