Result
2:0
23/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 6
- Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (190/247) | 89% (457/515) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (190/247) | 89% (457/515) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (18/44) | 73% (24/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (59/87) | 77% (102/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 21% (7/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Budnicki J. 🟨,
- 22', Rodrigues I. 🟨,
- 29', Labojko J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Budnicki J. ↓, Smolarczyk B. ↑,
- 46', Labojko J. ↓, Samper S. ↑,
- 47', Samper S. 🟨,
- 51', 1 - 0, Matuszewski K. ⚽, Antonin (A),
- 54', Svetlin T. 🟨,
- 60', Krol M. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 0, Antonin ⚽, Dlugosz W. (A),
- 67', Ede B. 🟨,
- 70', Matuszewski K. ↓, Resta P. ↑,
- 70', Antonin ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
- 73', Rodrigues I. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
- 73', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
- 73', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
- 77', Scalet M. 🟨,
- 80', Dlugosz W. 🟨,
- 81', Svetlin T. ↓, Strzebonski M. ↑,
- 88', Nono ↓, Niski N. ↑,
- 90+4', Nikolov V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Korona Kielce
46.7% | Draw
26.2% | Motor Lublin
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+1%)
Korona Kielce - Motor Lublin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.95) |
3.56 ↓
(3.65) |
3.44 ↑
(3.35) |
6.7%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Motor Lublin?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Motor will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Motor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Korona might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Korona: Popov V.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Motor: Bartos M.
(Ankle Injury)
Karasek K.
(Red Card)
Najemski A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Korona won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Motor Lublin?
Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Korona Kielce?
Motor Lublin has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Motor Lublin were as follows:
09.02.2025
Korona Kielce
-
Motor Lublin
1:0
04.08.2024
Motor Lublin
-
Korona Kielce
1:1
22.06.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Motor Lublin
1:1
08.07.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Motor Lublin
1:1
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Legia | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:16 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 20:13 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 | Rakow | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Termalica B-B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18:25 | -7 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
