Result
16/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 30
- Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 3 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Netherlands | Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (373/512) | 63% (253/402) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 57% (79/138) | 53% (80/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 44% (4/9) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 50% (7/14) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Ambrose T. ⚽, Mehssatou Sepulveda N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Sissako A. 🟨,
- 59', Kums S. ↓, Sonko M. L. ↑,
- 64', De Neve D. ↓, Kostons K. ↑,
- 64', Dejaegere B. ↓, Ilaimaharitra M. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 2, Ilaimaharitra M. ⚽, Kostons K. (A),
- 72', Goore H. ↓, Varela H. ↑,
- 72', Delorge-Knieper M. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,
- 73', Araujo T. ↓, Gambor H. ↑,
- 82', Mampassi M. 🟨,
- 85', Ambrose T. 🟨,
- 89', Ambrose T. ↓, Dermane K. ↑,
- 89', Kadri A. ↓, Nacho ↑,
- 90', Samoise M. ↓, Fadiga N. ↑,
- 90', Pirard L. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Fadiga N. ⚽,
- 90+5', Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↓, Dewaele G. ↑,
- 90+7', Ndjeungoue J. 🟥,
- 90+7', Fadiga N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gent
53.5% | Draw
24.7% | Kortrijk
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Kortrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Gent - Kortrijk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.65) |
3.87 ↓
(4.08) |
4.41 ↓
(4.81) |
5.5%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Gent - Kortrijk?
Users Predictions:
Gent will win
(16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- Kortrijk is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Gent won 5.
- Gent is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Kortrijk is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Kortrijk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Gent is a favorite.
- There will not play in Gent: Dean M.
(Knee Injury)
Fadiga N.
(Heart Problems)
Gandelman O.
(Injury)
Gerkens P.
(Injury)
Hjulsager A.
(Calf Injury)
Mitrovic S.
(Injury)
Roef D.
(Broken Hand)
- There will not play in Kortrijk: Ilaimaharitra M.
(Inactive)
Ilic M.
(Broken jawbone)
Kadri A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gent: Brown A.
(Injury)
Watanabe T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kortrijk: Fujii H.
(Shin Injury)
Gunnarsson P.
(Knock)
Lagae B.
(Inactive)
- Our prediction for today's Gent to win the game is with odds 1.69.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Gent won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 35:18 (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Gent won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21:9 (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gent won against Kortrijk?
Gent has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kortrijk won against Gent?
Kortrijk has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gent - Kortrijk were as follows:
28.07.2024
Kortrijk
-
Gent
0:1
26.12.2023
Kortrijk
-
Gent
0:2
30.07.2023
Gent
-
Kortrijk
3:2
15.01.2023
Gent
-
Kortrijk
2:1
13.11.2022
Kortrijk
-
Gent
0:4
Latest results of Kortrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Anderlecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | St. Truiden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | St. Liege | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Leuven | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Charleroi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Antwerp | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | KV Mechelen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Waregem | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Dender | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Genk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Gent | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Westerlo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
