Result
2:2
10/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Relegation Group - Round 6
- Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 3.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (482/583) | 70% (252/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 3.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 2.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (482/583) | 70% (252/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (40/76) | 27% (14/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (188/240) | 60% (65/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 50% (11/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.39 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Bertaccini A. ⚽, Ferrari A. (A),
- 8', 1 - 1, Kadri A. ⚽,
- 21', 2 - 1, Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ⚽, Duverne J. (A),
- 37', 2 - 2, Lapoussin L. ⚽, Fujita J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Van Helden R. 🟨,
- 61', Vanwesemael R. ↓, Janssens W. ↑,
- 74', Karim D. ↓, Kostons K. ↑,
- 74', Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↓, De Neve D. ↑,
- 80', Lapoussin L. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
- 81', Ferrari A. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
- 86', Ilaimaharitra M. ↓, Bruno M. ↑,
- 86', Kadri A. ↓, Dejaegere B. ↑,
- 87', Patris L. ↓, Taniguchi S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kortrijk
29.3% | Draw
26.1% | Sint-Truidense
44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kortrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kortrijk's form might have worsened.Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sint-Truidense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kortrijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sint-Truidense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kortrijk - Sint-Truidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↑
(2.54) |
3.6 ↑
(3.52) |
2.14 ↓
(2.7) |
5.5%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Kortrijk - Sint-Truidense?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Kortrijk will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 39.2% – 89.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Sint-Truidense (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sint-Truidense will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kortrijk won 1.
- Kortrijk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sint-Truidense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sint-Truidense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sint-Truidense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Kortrijk: Dejaegere B.
(Knock)
Nacho
(Yellow Cards)
Pirard L.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Kortrijk: Dewaele G.
(Knee Injury)
Gunnarsson P.
(Knock)
Mampassi M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kortrijk won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kortrijk won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kortrijk won against Sint-Truidense?
Kortrijk has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Kortrijk?
Sint-Truidense has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kortrijk - Sint-Truidense were as follows:
06.04.2025
Sint-Truidense
-
Kortrijk
0:3
01.03.2025
Sint-Truidense
-
Kortrijk
4:2
01.09.2024
Kortrijk
-
Sint-Truidense
1:1
09.02.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Kortrijk
1:0
06.08.2023
Kortrijk
-
Sint-Truidense
0:1
Latest results of Kortrijk
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
