Result
2:1
01/11/2025 at 22:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Matsuyama - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 64% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (43/79) | 49% (36/74) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (29/57) | 51% (21/41) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 62% (13/21) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (38/74) | 46% (36/79) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (20/41) | 49% (28/57) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 29% (7/24) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (72/136) | 50% (56/113) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (57/113) | 47% (64/136) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (129/249) | 48% (120/249) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 47% (7/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 47% (7/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 53% (16/30) | 47% (14/30) |
Chances of winning
Ryuki Matsuda
74.9% | Kousuke Ogura
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ryuki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ryuki Matsuda's performance.Kousuke Ogura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kousuke Ogura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryuki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-10.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ryuki Matsuda that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kousuke Ogura than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kousuke Ogura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ryuki Matsuda - Kousuke Ogura Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.24 ↓
(1.4) |
|
3.71 ↑
(2.75) |
7.5%
(7.8%) | |
Preview Facts
- Matsuda is ranked ATP: 534. Ogura is ranked ATP: 778.
- Matsuda is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Ogura has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ogura may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Matsuda might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Matsuda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ryuki Matsuda won against Kousuke Ogura?
Ryuki Matsuda has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kousuke Ogura won against Ryuki Matsuda?
Kousuke Ogura has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ryuki Matsuda - Kousuke Ogura were as follows:
04.09.2024
Kousuke Ogura
-
Ryuki Matsuda
2:1
Latest results of Ryuki Matsuda
Latest results of Kousuke Ogura
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Rocha H. (1) | Isomura K. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Bouzige M. (RET.) | Tokuda R. | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Sekulic P. | Chung H. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Takahashi Y. | Noguchi R. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Crawford O. (3) | Barton H. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Huesler M. | Katayama S. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Basing M. (Q) | Matsuda R. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Kusuhara Y. (WC) | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Kuzmanov D. (6) | Ajdukovic D. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Matsuda K. (Q) | Shelbayh A. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Shin S. | Nakagawa S. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Kumasaka T. (Q) | Peniston R. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Shimabukuro S. (5) | Mochizuki Y. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Jones M. | Johns G. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Bigun K. (JR) | Uchiyama Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Shiraishi H. | Grenier H. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Rocha H. (1) | Tokuda R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Sekulic P. | Noguchi R. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Crawford O. (3) | Huesler M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Basing M. | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Ajdukovic D. | Matsuda K. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Nakagawa S. | Peniston R. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Shimabukuro S. (5) | Johns G. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Uchiyama Y. | Grenier H. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rocha H. (1) | Noguchi R. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Crawford O. (3) | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Ajdukovic D. | Peniston R. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Shimabukuro S. (5) | Grenier H. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rocha H. (1) | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Peniston R. (4) | Shimabukuro S. (5) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Rocha H. (1) | Shimabukuro S. (5) | 2 : 1 |
