Result
4:2
29/05/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 9
- Referee: Haflidason Oddur G. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | Stod 2 Sport |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 26% | 74% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (121/194) | 83% (462/555) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.13 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 46 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (121/194) | 83% (462/555) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/59) | 68% (38/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (34/56) | 69% (135/197) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 41% (14/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 2.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 31% (5/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 50 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 3.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Atlason E. ⚽, Hauksson A. (A),
- 9', 2 - 0, Hauksson A. ⚽,
- 10', Kristjansson G. ↓, Gunnarsson J. ↑,
- 11', 3 - 0, Waren B. ⚽, Hauksson A. (A),
- 37', Waren B. 🟨,
- 45', Thordarson A. 🟨,
- 45+3', Hauksson A. 🟨,
- 45+5', 3 - 1, Sigurdarson A. ⚽, Praest M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Matthiasson D. 🟨,
- 52', Sigurdarson A. 🟨,
- 56', 4 - 1, Eggertsson O. ⚽, Atlason E. (A),
- 59', Thorisson T. ↓, Gudlaugsson B. ↑,
- 60', Gudbrandsson G. ↓, Hlynsson R. ↑,
- 61', Sigurdsson H. 🟨,
- 71', Eyjolfsson G. 🟨,
- 72', Tryggvason G. ↓, Andrason A. ↑,
- 75', Sigurdarson A. ↓, Albertsson A. ↑,
- 83', Eggertsson O. ↓, Bjarnason A. ↑,
- 84', Matthiasson D. ↓, Brink H. O. ↑,
- 84', Waren B. ↓, Birgisson A. ↑,
- 90+5', 4 - 2, Sigurdsson H. ⚽, Hlynsson R. (A),
Chances of winning
Stjarnan
40.5% | Draw
22.2% | KR Reykjavík
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)KR Reykjavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KR Reykjavík than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.55) |
4.22 ↑
(3.9) |
2.51 ↑
(2.2) |
7%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
What is the prediction for Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Stjarnan will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). KR Reykjavík will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KR Reykjavík: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. KR Reykjavík (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 4 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- O/U 4.25 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 1.
- Stjarnan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- KR Reykjavík is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:29. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stjarnan won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.4:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Stjarnan won against KR Reykjavík?
Stjarnan has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KR Reykjavík won against Stjarnan?
KR Reykjavík has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík were as follows:
09.03.2025
Stjarnan
-
KR Reykjavík
1:3
06.07.2024
KR Reykjavík
-
Stjarnan
1:1
16.05.2024
Stjarnan
-
KR Reykjavík
5:3
12.04.2024
Stjarnan
-
KR Reykjavík
1:3
08.03.2024
KR Reykjavík
-
Stjarnan
1:1
Latest results of Stjarnan
Latest results of KR Reykjavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valur ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 46:24 | 22 | 37 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 33:24 | 9 | 32 |
| 3 | Breidablik | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Stjarnan | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 34:30 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Vestri | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19:17 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Fram | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Hafnarfjordur | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 31:27 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | KA Akureyri | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18:32 | -14 | 22 |
| 9 | Vestmannaeyjar | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 21 |
| 10 | KR Reykjavik | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Afturelding | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 12 | Akranes | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 20:39 | -19 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
