KR Reykjavík vs Stjarnan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Icelandic Besta-deild karla KR Reykjavík - Stjarnan
Result
1:2
25/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Besta deild karla - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Ísland
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.761.44
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
2410
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
134
Passes
85% (414/487)71% (189/268)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.761.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.392.52
Total shots
2410
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
174
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
134
Touches in opposition box
3517
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
514
Passes
85% (414/487)71% (189/268)
Long passes
61% (38/62)36% (29/80)
Passes in final third
71% (97/137)54% (49/91)
Crosses
23% (5/22)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.971.48
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
145
Tackles
90% (9/10)63% (12/19)
Duels won
3251
Clearances
2436
Interceptions
1014
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
2.520.39
Goals prevented
0.52-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Eggertsson O. , Kristjansson G. (A),
  • 29', Kristjansson G. 🟨,
  • 39', Matthiasson D. , Gunnarsson J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Sigurdarson A. , Gudmundsson G. (A),
  • 49', Nokkvason G. 🟨,
  • 52', Sigurdarson A. 🟨,
  • 73', Fridjonsson S. , Conteh A. ,
  • 73', Bjarnason A. , Hauksson A. ,
  • 81', Gudmundsson G. , Sigurjonsson A. ,
  • 81', Sigurdarson A. , Sigurdsson H. ,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Eggertsson O. , Gunnarsson J. (A),
  • 90+1', Eggertsson O. , Birgisson A. ,
  • 90+1', Waren B. , Ingimarsson S. T. ,

Chances of winning


KR Reykjavík
42.2%
Draw
22.7%
Stjarnan
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 20% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 20.7% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KR Reykjavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KR Reykjavík's form might have worsened.
  • Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stjarnan's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KR Reykjavík than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KR Reykjavík, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stjarnan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • KR Reykjavík - Stjarnan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (1.79)
    4.17
    (4.68)
    2.7
    (3.38)
    5.6%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • What is the prediction for KR Reykjavík - Stjarnan?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. KR Reykjavík will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Stjarnan will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stjarnan: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stjarnan will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KR Reykjavík won 2.
    • Recent performances by KR Reykjavík have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Stjarnan is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • KR Reykjavík may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • KR Reykjavík might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KR Reykjavík won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:32. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, KR Reykjavík won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KR Reykjavík - Stjarnan were as follows:
    29.05.2025 Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík 4:2
    09.03.2025 Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík 1:3
    06.07.2024 KR Reykjavík - Stjarnan 1:1
    16.05.2024 Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík 5:3
    12.04.2024 Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík 1:3
    Latest results of KR Reykjavík
    Latest results of Stjarnan
    17.08.2025 Stjarnan - Vestri 2:1
    06.08.2025 Fram - Stjarnan 1:1
    28.07.2025 Stjarnan - Afturelding 4:1
    Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Valur ✔ 21124552:331940
    2Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ 21116440:271339
    3Stjarnan ✔ 21114641:34737
    4Breidablik ✔ 2096536:31533
    5Hafnarfjordur2185839:33629
    6Fram2184930:29128
    7Vestmannaeyjar2184923:27-428
    8Vestri21831022:24-227
    9KA Akureyri2175925:38-1326
    10KR Reykjavik ✔ 2166942:44-224
    11Afturelding ✔ 21561028:36-821
    12Akranes ✔ 20511420:42-2216

          Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
          Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
    Vikingur Reykjavik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
    Stjarnan is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
    Breidablik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
    KR Reykjavik is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
    Afturelding is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
    Akranes is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )