Result
1:2
25/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.76 | 1.44 |
Ball Possession |
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64% | 36% |
Total shots |
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24 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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13 | 4 |
Passes |
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85% (414/487) | 71% (189/268) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.76 | 1.44 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.39 | 2.52 |
Total shots |
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24 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
17 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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7 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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13 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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35 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 1 |
Offsides |
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2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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5 | 14 |
Passes |
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85% (414/487) | 71% (189/268) |
Long passes |
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61% (38/62) | 36% (29/80) |
Passes in final third |
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71% (97/137) | 54% (49/91) |
Crosses |
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23% (5/22) | 21% (4/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.97 | 1.48 |
Throw-ins |
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23 | 20 |
Fouls |
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14 | 5 |
Tackles |
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90% (9/10) | 63% (12/19) |
Duels won |
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32 | 51 |
Clearances |
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24 | 36 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
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2.52 | 0.39 |
Goals prevented |
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0.52 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Eggertsson O. ⚽, Kristjansson G. (A),
- 29', Kristjansson G. 🟨,
- 39', Matthiasson D. ↓, Gunnarsson J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 1, Sigurdarson A. ⚽, Gudmundsson G. (A),
- 49', Nokkvason G. 🟨,
- 52', Sigurdarson A. 🟨,
- 73', Fridjonsson S. ↓, Conteh A. ↑,
- 73', Bjarnason A. ↓, Hauksson A. ↑,
- 81', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Sigurjonsson A. ↑,
- 81', Sigurdarson A. ↓, Sigurdsson H. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Eggertsson O. ⚽, Gunnarsson J. (A),
- 90+1', Eggertsson O. ↓, Birgisson A. ↑,
- 90+1', Waren B. ↓, Ingimarsson S. T. ↑,
Chances of winning
KR Reykjavík 42.2% | Draw 22.7% | Stjarnan 35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KR Reykjavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KR Reykjavík's form might have worsened.Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stjarnan's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KR Reykjavík than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KR Reykjavík, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stjarnan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
KR Reykjavík - Stjarnan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.25 ↑ (1.79) |
4.17 ↓ (4.68) |
2.7 ↓ (3.38) |
5.6% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for KR Reykjavík - Stjarnan?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. KR Reykjavík will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Stjarnan will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stjarnan: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stjarnan will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KR Reykjavík won 2.
- Recent performances by KR Reykjavík have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Stjarnan is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- KR Reykjavík may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- KR Reykjavík might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KR Reykjavík won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:32. (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, KR Reykjavík won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has KR Reykjavík won against Stjarnan?
KR Reykjavík has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stjarnan won against KR Reykjavík?
Stjarnan has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KR Reykjavík - Stjarnan were as follows:
29.05.2025
Stjarnan
-
KR Reykjavík
4:2
09.03.2025
Stjarnan
-
KR Reykjavík
1:3
06.07.2024
KR Reykjavík
-
Stjarnan
1:1
16.05.2024
Stjarnan
-
KR Reykjavík
5:3
12.04.2024
Stjarnan
-
KR Reykjavík
1:3
Latest results of KR Reykjavík
Latest results of Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Valur ✔ | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 52:33 | 19 | 40 |
2 | Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 40:27 | 13 | 39 |
3 | Stjarnan ✔ | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Breidablik ✔ | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 33 |
5 | Hafnarfjordur | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Fram | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 28 |
7 | Vestmannaeyjar | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
8 | Vestri | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 22:24 | -2 | 27 |
9 | KA Akureyri | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:38 | -13 | 26 |
10 | KR Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 42:44 | -2 | 24 |
11 | Afturelding ✔ | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
12 | Akranes ✔ | 20 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Vikingur Reykjavik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Stjarnan is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Breidablik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
KR Reykjavik is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Afturelding is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Akranes is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )