Result
1:2
25/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (414/487) | 71% (189/268) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 2.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (414/487) | 71% (189/268) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (38/62) | 36% (29/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (97/137) | 54% (49/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Eggertsson O. ⚽, Kristjansson G. (A),
- 29', Kristjansson G. 🟨,
- 39', Matthiasson D. ↓, Gunnarsson J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 1, Sigurdarson A. ⚽, Gudmundsson G. (A),
- 49', Nokkvason G. 🟨,
- 52', Sigurdarson A. 🟨,
- 73', Fridjonsson S. ↓, Conteh A. ↑,
- 73', Bjarnason A. ↓, Hauksson A. ↑,
- 81', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Sigurjonsson A. ↑,
- 81', Sigurdarson A. ↓, Sigurdsson H. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Eggertsson O. ⚽, Gunnarsson J. (A),
- 90+1', Eggertsson O. ↓, Birgisson A. ↑,
- 90+1', Waren B. ↓, Ingimarsson S. T. ↑,
Chances of winning
KR Reykjavík
42.2% | Draw
22.7% | Stjarnan
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KR Reykjavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KR Reykjavík's form might have worsened.Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stjarnan's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KR Reykjavík than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KR Reykjavík, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stjarnan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
KR Reykjavík - Stjarnan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(1.79) |
4.17 ↓
(4.68) |
2.7 ↓
(3.38) |
5.6%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for KR Reykjavík - Stjarnan?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. KR Reykjavík will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Stjarnan will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stjarnan: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stjarnan will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KR Reykjavík won 2.
- Recent performances by KR Reykjavík have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Stjarnan is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- KR Reykjavík may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- KR Reykjavík might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KR Reykjavík won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:32. (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, KR Reykjavík won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has KR Reykjavík won against Stjarnan?
KR Reykjavík has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stjarnan won against KR Reykjavík?
Stjarnan has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KR Reykjavík - Stjarnan were as follows:
29.05.2025
Stjarnan
-
KR Reykjavík
4:2
09.03.2025
Stjarnan
-
KR Reykjavík
1:3
06.07.2024
KR Reykjavík
-
Stjarnan
1:1
16.05.2024
Stjarnan
-
KR Reykjavík
5:3
12.04.2024
Stjarnan
-
KR Reykjavík
1:3
Latest results of KR Reykjavík
Latest results of Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 49:28 | 21 | 45 |
| 2 | Stjarnan | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 41 |
| 3 | Valur | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 53:35 | 18 | 40 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 37:35 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Hafnarfjordur | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 31 |
| 6 | Fram | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
