Result
6:1
23/06/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 12
- Referee: Thrastarson S. H. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport, SÝN Sport Ísland |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 1.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (171/259) | 84% (430/510) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 1.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.78 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (171/259) | 84% (430/510) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (29/73) | 55% (23/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (51/94) | 69% (104/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 3.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -2.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Sigurdsson K. ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, Bjarnason J. (Pen),
- 28', 2 - 1, Magnusson T. ⚽, Sigurdsson K. (A),
- 35', Sigurdsson K. 🟨,
- 43', 3 - 1, Omarsson O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 49', Sigurdarson A. 🟨,
- 62', Sigurdarson A. ↓, Thordarson A. ↑,
- 62', Praest M. ↓, Tryggvason G. ↑,
- 62', Sigurdsson H. ↓, Albertsson A. ↑,
- 64', Skoglund A. ↓, Heimisson L. ↑,
- 70', 4 - 1, Haraldsson T. ⚽, Pedersen P. (A),
- 75', 5 - 1, Pedersen P. ⚽, Haraldsson T. (A),
- 76', Pedersen P. ↓, Palsson A. ↑,
- 76', Jonsson J. ↓, Palsson J. ↑,
- 79', Eyjolfsson H. 🟨,
- 82', Haraldsson T. ↓, Kjeld M. ↑,
- 82', Magnusson T. ↓, Hoti A. ↑,
- 83', Sigurjonsson A. ↓, Andrason A. ↑,
- 90+6', 6 - 1, Heimisson L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Valur
52.5% | Draw
20.9% | KR Reykjavík
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)KR Reykjavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KR Reykjavík than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Valur - KR Reykjavík Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.64) |
4.46 ↓
(4.68) |
3.52 ↓
(4.13) |
7.1%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
What is the prediction for Valur - KR Reykjavík?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Valur (votes: 5 - 71.4%). KR Reykjavík (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Users Predictions:
Valur will win
(21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 2.
- Valur is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- KR Reykjavík's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Valur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Valur is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Valur will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valur won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 50:37. (average 2.5:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 2.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Valur won against KR Reykjavík?
Valur has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KR Reykjavík won against Valur?
KR Reykjavík has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valur - KR Reykjavík were as follows:
14.04.2025
KR Reykjavík
-
Valur
3:3
30.01.2025
Valur
-
KR Reykjavík
0:3
16.09.2024
Valur
-
KR Reykjavík
4:1
03.06.2024
KR Reykjavík
-
Valur
3:5
17.01.2024
Valur
-
KR Reykjavík
2:5
Latest results of KR Reykjavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 49:28 | 21 | 45 |
| 2 | Stjarnan | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 41 |
| 3 | Valur | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 53:35 | 18 | 40 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 37:35 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Hafnarfjordur | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 31 |
| 6 | Fram | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
