Valur vs KR Reykjavík – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Icelandic Besta-deild karla Valur - KR Reykjavík
Result
6:1
23/06/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Besta deild karla - Round 12
  • Referee: Thrastarson S. H. (Ice)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport, SÝN Sport Ísland
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.861.90
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1719
Shots on target
114
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
66% (171/259)84% (430/510)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.861.90
xG on target (xGOT)
3.781.01
Total shots
1719
Shots on target
114
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
411
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
3522
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
511
Passes
66% (171/259)84% (430/510)
Long passes
40% (29/73)55% (23/42)
Passes in final third
54% (51/94)69% (104/151)
Crosses
18% (2/11)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.921.01
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
115
Tackles
100% (9/9)56% (9/16)
Duels won
3251
Clearances
2329
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.013.78
Goals prevented
0.01-2.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Sigurdsson K. ,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Bjarnason J. (Pen),
  • 28', 2 - 1, Magnusson T. , Sigurdsson K. (A),
  • 35', Sigurdsson K. 🟨,
  • 43', 3 - 1, Omarsson O. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 49', Sigurdarson A. 🟨,
  • 62', Sigurdarson A. , Thordarson A. ,
  • 62', Praest M. , Tryggvason G. ,
  • 62', Sigurdsson H. , Albertsson A. ,
  • 64', Skoglund A. , Heimisson L. ,
  • 70', 4 - 1, Haraldsson T. , Pedersen P. (A),
  • 75', 5 - 1, Pedersen P. , Haraldsson T. (A),
  • 76', Pedersen P. , Palsson A. ,
  • 76', Jonsson J. , Palsson J. ,
  • 79', Eyjolfsson H. 🟨,
  • 82', Haraldsson T. , Kjeld M. ,
  • 82', Magnusson T. , Hoti A. ,
  • 83', Sigurjonsson A. , Andrason A. ,
  • 90+6', 6 - 1, Heimisson L. ,

Chances of winning


Valur
52.5%
Draw
20.9%
KR Reykjavík
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 20% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 19.4% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • KR Reykjavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KR Reykjavík than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Valur - KR Reykjavík Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.64)
    4.46
    (4.68)
    3.52
    (4.13)
    7.1%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
  • What is the prediction for Valur - KR Reykjavík?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Valur (votes: 5 - 71.4%). KR Reykjavík (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Users Predictions: Valur will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 2.
    • Valur is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • KR Reykjavík's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Valur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Valur is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Valur will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valur won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 50:37. (average 2.5:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 2.2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Valur - KR Reykjavík were as follows:
    14.04.2025 KR Reykjavík - Valur 3:3
    30.01.2025 Valur - KR Reykjavík 0:3
    16.09.2024 Valur - KR Reykjavík 4:1
    03.06.2024 KR Reykjavík - Valur 3:5
    17.01.2024 Valur - KR Reykjavík 2:5
    Latest results of Valur
    19.06.2025 ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Valur 0:1
    14.06.2025 Stjarnan - Valur 3:2
    02.06.2025 Valur - Fram 2:1
    29.05.2025 Afturelding - Valur 0:2
    24.05.2025 Valur - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar 3:0
    Latest results of KR Reykjavík
    Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Valur ✔ 21124552:331940
    2Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ 21116440:271339
    3Stjarnan ✔ 21114641:34737
    4Breidablik2096536:31533
    5Hafnarfjordur2185839:33629
    6Fram2184930:29128
    7Vestmannaeyjar2184923:27-428
    8Vestri21831022:24-227
    9KA Akureyri2175925:38-1326
    10KR Reykjavik2166942:44-224
    11Afturelding21561028:36-821
    12Akranes ✔ 20511420:42-2216

          Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
          Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
    Vikingur Reykjavik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
    Stjarnan is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
    Akranes is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )