Ksar vs Douanes Nouakchott – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mauritania Ligue 1 Ksar - Douanes Nouakchott
Result
1:2
11/03/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MAURITANIA: Ligue 1 - Round 21

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, El Id Y. ,
  • 45+5', 0 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 2, ,
  • 80', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Ksar
21.1%
Draw
27%
Douanes Nouakchott
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.4% 27.1% 45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6% 26.3% 46.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ksar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ksar's form might have worsened.
  • Douanes Nouakchott has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Douanes Nouakchott's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ksar than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ksar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Douanes Nouakchott than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Douanes Nouakchott, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ksar - Douanes Nouakchott Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.31
    (3.34)
    3.37
    (3.38)
    1.75
    (2.01)
    9.9%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 6).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ksar won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Ksar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently opponents have a series of home games.
    • Douanes Nouakchott will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Ksar won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:13 (average 1.2:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ksar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:10 (average 1.3:3.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ksar - Douanes Nouakchott were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Douanes Nouakchott - Ksar 0:1
    27.04.2024 Douanes Nouakchott - Ksar 2:2
    05.12.2023 Ksar - Douanes Nouakchott 1:3
    Latest results of Ksar
    25.02.2025 Ksar - Pompier 1:0
    20.02.2025 Ksar - Nouakchott Kings 1:1
    16.02.2025 Chemal - Ksar 0:0
    09.02.2025 Ksar - Garde Nationale 0:1
    20.01.2025 Ksar - Toulde 0:1
    Latest results of Douanes Nouakchott
    Mauritania Ligue 1 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al-Hilal Omdurman30207355:183767
    2Nouadhibou301710337:132461
    3Chemal30149737:231451
    4Nouakchott King's301214436:251150
    5Douane301213539:30949
    6Al-Merreikh301281036:28844
    7Tevragh-Zeina301110935:26943
    8Pompiers309111031:30138
    9Inter Nouakchott309101131:37-637
    10Kaedi30991237:49-1236
    11Gendrim30971424:35-1134
    12SNIM30881424:28-432
    13Nzeidane306121231:42-1130
    14Ksar30781519:31-1229
    15Garde Nationale30761724:44-2027
    16Toulde30462017:54-3718

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