KTP Kotka Basket vs BC Nokia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Finnish Korisliiga KTP Kotka Basket - BC Nokia
Result
85:86
04/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FINLAND: Korisliiga - Losers stage
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandRuutu+

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6665
Field Goals Made
3235
Field Goals %
48.5%53.8%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3448
2-Point Field Goals Made
1931
2-Point Field Goals %
55.9%64.6%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3217
3-Point Field Goals Made
134
3-Point Field Goals %
40.6%23.5%
Free Throws Attempted
1421
Free Throws Made
812
Free Throws %
57.1%57.1%
Offensive Rebounds
1212
Defensive Rebounds
2224
Total Rebounds
3436
Assists
2415
Blocks
42
Turnovers
1413
Steals
79
Personal Fouls
1811

Chances of winning


KTP Kotka Basket
43.2%
BC Nokia
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KTP Kotka Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KTP Kotka Basket's form might have worsened.
  • BC Nokia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BC Nokia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka Basket than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KTP Kotka Basket, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for BC Nokia than the current prediction. (-15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BC Nokia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • KTP Kotka Basket - BC Nokia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (1.62)

    1.66
    (2.04)
    6.3%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 169.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches KTP Basket won 2.
    • KTP Basket in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Nokia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Nokia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches KTP Basket won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1733:1684 (average 86.7:84.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams KTP Basket won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 800:740 (average 88.9:82.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KTP Kotka Basket - BC Nokia were as follows:
    28.01.2025 BC Nokia - KTP Kotka Basket 61:98
    07.01.2025 BC Nokia - KTP Kotka Basket 90:76
    12.11.2024 KTP Kotka Basket - BC Nokia 81:77
    03.02.2024 BC Nokia - KTP Kotka Basket 100:94
    28.11.2023 KTP Kotka Basket - BC Nokia 93:98
    Latest results of KTP Kotka Basket
    Latest results of BC Nokia
    01.03.2025 Kouvot Kouvola - BC Nokia 94:85
    12.02.2025 BC Nokia - Espoon Honka 95:84
    08.02.2025 Pyrinto Tampere - BC Nokia 77:91
    31.01.2025 Korikobrat - BC Nokia 71:79
    28.01.2025 BC Nokia - KTP Kotka Basket 61:98
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Helsinki Seagulls (1)Kouvot Kouvola (8)3 : 1
    2Salon Vilpas (4)UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki (5)3 : 2
    3Karhu Basket (2)Pyrinto Tampere (7)3 : 0
    4Kataja (3)Bisons Loimaa (6)3 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Helsinki Seagulls (1)Salon Vilpas (4)4 : 0
    2Karhu Basket (2)Kataja (3)4 : 0

    Final
    1Helsinki Seagulls (1)Karhu Basket (2)4 : 0

    3rd place
    2Kataja (3)Salon Vilpas (4)0 : 1