Result
 
                    1:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        19/09/2025 at  12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ | 
 World | Onefootball | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.61 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 57% | 43% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 19 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 79% (316/401) | 70% (226/322) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.61 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.30 | 2.23 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 19 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 9 | 3 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 7 | 0 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 14 | 5 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 3 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 40 | 18 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 11 | 9 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 79% (316/401) | 70% (226/322) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 43% (26/60) | 44% (34/78) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 66% (97/146) | 59% (54/92) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 26% (8/31) | 18% (2/11) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.38 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 22 | 25 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 9 | 11 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 60% (9/15) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 53 | 52 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 27 | 51 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 7 | 7 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.30 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.30 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
 - 5', 0 - 1, Kahkonen S. ⚽, Valencic F. (A), 
 - 29', Tanaka A. 🟨, 
 - 32', 0 - 2, Cissoko K. ⚽, Kahkonen S. (A), 
 - 45', 1 - 2, Seck A. ⚽, Lahdensuo T. (A), 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 0)
 - 49', Aspegren F. 🟨, 
 - 59', Sumusalo M. ↓, Tarvonen A. ↑, 
 - 70', Bjonback A. ↓, Eremenko S. ↑, 
 - 70', Bjorkskog A. ↓, Sotelo G. ↑, 
 - 79', Aspegren F. ↓, Makela J. ↑, 
 - 79', Tanaka A. ↓, Forsell P. ↑, 
 - 83', Kusu M. 🟨, 
 - 83', Seck A. ↓, Glasson M. ↑, 
 - 85', Myrevik J. ↓, Brunell J. ↑, 
 - 85', Vidjeskog A. ↓, Sipola S. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 KTP Kotka  40.4% | Draw  24.6% | FF Jaro  35% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        KTP Kotka - FF Jaro Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.46 ↑ (2.29) | 
			   3.95 ↑ (3.86) | 
			   2.74 ↓ (2.8) | 
			   2.5% (5.3%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for KTP Kotka - FF Jaro?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            9 users predict this event. KTP will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Jaro will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for KTP: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jaro (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 4.
 - KTP has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
 - Jaro's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
 - Jaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  - In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
 - There will not play in KTP: Toivio J.
(Yellow Cards)
 - There are questionable in Jaro: Eremenko S.
(Injury)
 - In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KTP won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:33. (average 1.7:1.7).
 - Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has KTP Kotka won against FF Jaro?
                    
                    
                        
                            KTP Kotka has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has FF Jaro won against KTP Kotka?
                    
                    
                        
                             FF Jaro has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between KTP Kotka - FF Jaro were as follows:
                                                        
                                26.04.2025 
                                FF Jaro 
                                - 
                                KTP Kotka 
                                2:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                25.08.2024 
                                FF Jaro 
                                - 
                                KTP Kotka 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                14.07.2024 
                                FF Jaro 
                                - 
                                KTP Kotka 
                                5:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                13.05.2024 
                                KTP Kotka 
                                - 
                                FF Jaro 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                18.09.2022 
                                FF Jaro 
                                - 
                                KTP Kotka 
                                4:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of KTP Kotka                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of FF Jaro                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | KuPS | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 60:34 | 26 | 64 | 
| 2 | Ilves | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 65:40 | 25 | 59 | 
| 3 | Inter Turku | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 58:33 | 25 | 58 | 
| 4 | SJK | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 64:48 | 16 | 55 | 
| 5 | HJK | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 72:48 | 24 | 48 | 
| 6 | Gnistan | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 45:60 | -15 | 32 | 
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