Result
1:2
19/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (316/401) | 70% (226/322) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 2.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (316/401) | 70% (226/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/60) | 44% (34/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (97/146) | 59% (54/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (8/31) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Kahkonen S. ⚽, Valencic F. (A),
- 29', Tanaka A. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 2, Cissoko K. ⚽, Kahkonen S. (A),
- 45', 1 - 2, Seck A. ⚽, Lahdensuo T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Aspegren F. 🟨,
- 59', Sumusalo M. ↓, Tarvonen A. ↑,
- 70', Bjonback A. ↓, Eremenko S. ↑,
- 70', Bjorkskog A. ↓, Sotelo G. ↑,
- 79', Aspegren F. ↓, Makela J. ↑,
- 79', Tanaka A. ↓, Forsell P. ↑,
- 83', Kusu M. 🟨,
- 83', Seck A. ↓, Glasson M. ↑,
- 85', Myrevik J. ↓, Brunell J. ↑,
- 85', Vidjeskog A. ↓, Sipola S. ↑,
Chances of winning
KTP Kotka
40.4% | Draw
24.6% | FF Jaro
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)FF Jaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
KTP Kotka - FF Jaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.29) |
3.95 ↑
(3.86) |
2.74 ↓
(2.8) |
2.5%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for KTP Kotka - FF Jaro?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. KTP will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Jaro will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KTP: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jaro (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 4.
- KTP has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jaro's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Jaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in KTP: Toivio J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Jaro: Eremenko S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KTP won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:33. (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has KTP Kotka won against FF Jaro?
KTP Kotka has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FF Jaro won against KTP Kotka?
FF Jaro has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KTP Kotka - FF Jaro were as follows:
26.04.2025
FF Jaro
-
KTP Kotka
2:3
25.08.2024
FF Jaro
-
KTP Kotka
1:2
14.07.2024
FF Jaro
-
KTP Kotka
5:2
13.05.2024
KTP Kotka
-
FF Jaro
1:0
18.09.2022
FF Jaro
-
KTP Kotka
4:2
Latest results of KTP Kotka
Latest results of FF Jaro
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 48:20 | 28 | 49 |
| 2 | Ilves | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 51:29 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | HJK | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 45 |
| 4 | KuPS | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 41:27 | 14 | 44 |
| 5 | SJK | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 48:34 | 14 | 42 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 34:41 | -7 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
