Result
28/06/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
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Finland | Ruutu+ |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.51 | 2.01 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 9 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 9 |
Passes |
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83% (410/492) | 79% (302/380) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.51 | 2.01 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.92 | 3.52 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
83% (410/492) | 79% (302/380) |
Long passes |
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52% (29/56) | 52% (33/64) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (86/121) | 70% (91/130) |
Crosses |
---|
9% (1/11) | 30% (9/30) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.52 | 1.81 |
Throw-ins |
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7 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 16 |
Tackles |
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67% (10/15) | 36% (5/14) |
Duels won |
---|
56 | 47 |
Clearances |
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34 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.52 | 1.92 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.52 | -1.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Cissoko K. ⚽, Bjorkskog A. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Forsell P. (Pen),
- 43', 2 - 1, Seck A. ⚽, Forsell P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 3 - 1, Seck A. ⚽, Edlund C. (A),
- 55', Paavola M. 🟨,
- 61', Elle Essouma F. ↓, Huhtamaki U. ↑,
- 65', Polley R. ↓, Bjonback A. ↑,
- 65', Valencic F. ↓, Vikstrom R. ↑,
- 65', Kahkonen S. ↓, Izountouemoi S. ↑,
- 73', Tarvonen A. ↓, Glasson M. ↑,
- 77', Cissoko K. ↓, Vidjeskog A. ↑,
- 78', Sotelo G. 🟨,
- 80', Edlund C. ↓, Oddei B. ↑,
- 80', Seck A. ↓, Rangel ↑,
- 82', Sotelo G. ↓, Myrevik J. ↑,
- 88', Oddei B. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Ogungbaro M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
KTP Kotka 33.8% | Draw 26.9% | FF Jaro 39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KTP Kotka's form might have worsened.FF Jaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FF Jaro's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KTP Kotka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FF Jaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
KTP Kotka - FF Jaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.75 ↑ (2.45) |
3.49 ↓ (3.53) |
2.46 ↓ (2.79) |
5.7% (5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for KTP Kotka - FF Jaro?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. KTP will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Jaro will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KTP: 12% – 65%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 3.
- KTP is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jaro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- KTP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KTP won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:31. (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has KTP Kotka won against FF Jaro?
KTP Kotka has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FF Jaro won against KTP Kotka?
FF Jaro has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KTP Kotka - FF Jaro were as follows:
26.04.2025
FF Jaro
-
KTP Kotka
2:3
25.08.2024
FF Jaro
-
KTP Kotka
1:2
14.07.2024
FF Jaro
-
KTP Kotka
5:2
13.05.2024
KTP Kotka
-
FF Jaro
1:0
18.09.2022
FF Jaro
-
KTP Kotka
4:2
Latest results of KTP Kotka
Latest results of FF Jaro
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ilves | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
2 | Inter Turku | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 32:12 | 20 | 34 |
3 | KuPS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | HJK | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 29 |
5 | SJK | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31:23 | 8 | 28 |
6 | Gnistan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
7 | VPS | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 19 |
8 | Mariehamn | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:31 | -15 | 17 |
9 | Haka | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 16 |
10 | Jaro | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 |
11 | AC Oulu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22:35 | -13 | 12 |
12 | KTP | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:38 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )