Result
2:3
26/07/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (332/409) | 86% (368/430) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (332/409) | 86% (368/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (23/49) | 41% (17/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (77/125) | 70% (70/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/24) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.66 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | -0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', Linner O. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 0, Da Sylva J. (Pen),
- 24', 1 - 1, Rangel ⚽, Makela J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 50', 2 - 1, Da Sylva J. ⚽,
- 52', Akpudje J. ↓, Paavola M. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 2, Tahmbi N. ⚽,
- 60', 2 - 3, Tanaka A. ⚽,
- 63', Lindholm S. ↓, Sallinen O. ↑,
- 63', Hudd R. ↓, Sejdiu A. ↑,
- 69', Rangel ↓, Forsell P. ↑,
- 74', Parfitt-Williams D. ↓, Bulgakov D. ↑,
- 74', Akintunde J. ↓, Multanen K. ↑,
- 81', Tahmbi N. ↓, Elle Essouma F. ↑,
- 81', Seck A. ↓, Edlund C. ↑,
- 90+1', Makela J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Okyere A. ↓, Jalasvaara A. ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Haka
49.5% | Draw
24.9% | KTP Kotka
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haka than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Haka - KTP Kotka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.77) |
3.84 ↑
(3.69) |
3.7 ↓
(4.38) |
5.5%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Haka - KTP Kotka?
Users Predictions:
Haka will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haka won 4.
- Haka has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- KTP has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Haka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Haka is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Haka: Almen M.
(Inactive)
Hughes L.
(Inactive)
Lucas Cini
(Yellow Cards)
Selander R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in KTP: Glasson M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Haka: Gianini Dantas N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in KTP: Banza E.
(Inactive)
Manga T.
(Inactive)
Tarvonen A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Haka won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:25. (average 2.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Haka won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:11. (average 2.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Haka won against KTP Kotka?
Haka has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KTP Kotka won against Haka?
KTP Kotka has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Haka - KTP Kotka were as follows:
23.05.2025
KTP Kotka
-
Haka
0:0
22.01.2025
Haka
-
KTP Kotka
3:1
07.10.2023
Haka
-
KTP Kotka
2:0
21.08.2023
KTP Kotka
-
Haka
1:2
05.05.2023
Haka
-
KTP Kotka
4:2
Latest results of KTP Kotka
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku ✔ | 19 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 43:16 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | KuPS ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Ilves ✔ | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 36 |
| 4 | HJK ✔ | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 45:25 | 20 | 35 |
| 5 | SJK ✔ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 37:28 | 9 | 34 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30:35 | -5 | 24 |
| 7 | Jaro | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | VPS | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 21 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 18 |
| 10 | Haka | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 15 |
| 12 | KTP ✔ | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21:45 | -24 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
SJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
