Result
0:2
09/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (329/397) | 87% (427/493) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (329/397) | 87% (427/493) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (21/43) | 48% (21/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (113/144) | 69% (88/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (15/27) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 1.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Cisse I. ⚽, Oksanen J. (A),
- 19', Sumusalo M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Rangel 🟨,
- 60', Sumusalo M. ↓, Toivonen A. ↑,
- 63', Tikkanen R. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
- 63', Sadiku A. ↓, Parzyszek P. ↑,
- 63', Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
- 64', Akpudje J. 🟨,
- 68', Paavola M. ↓, Weckstrom L. ↑,
- 72', Heinonen A. 🟨,
- 74', Heinonen A. ↓, Ruoppi O. ↑,
- 79', Seidu S. ↓, Pennanen P. ↑,
- 85', 0 - 2, Toure M. ⚽, Parzyszek P. (A),
- 86', Makela J. ↓, Glasson M. ↑,
Chances of winning
KTP Kotka
21.4% | Draw
23.7% | KuPS Kuopio
54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
KTP Kotka - KuPS Kuopio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.58 ↑
(4.1) |
4.08 ↓
(4.18) |
1.73 ↓
(1.75) |
4.1%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for KTP Kotka - KuPS Kuopio?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. KTP will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). KuPS will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KuPS: 47.5% – 89.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. KuPS (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 0.
- KTP has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- KuPS is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- KuPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, KuPS is the team to beat.
- There will not play in KuPS: Agyei D.
(Inactive)
Antwi C.
(Inactive)
Ricardo P.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in KTP: Tahmbi N.
(Injury)
Tarvonen A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, KTP won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has KTP Kotka won against KuPS Kuopio?
KTP Kotka has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KuPS Kuopio won against KTP Kotka?
KuPS Kuopio has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KTP Kotka - KuPS Kuopio were as follows:
10.05.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
KTP Kotka
3:0
30.07.2023
KuPS Kuopio
-
KTP Kotka
2:0
14.04.2023
KTP Kotka
-
KuPS Kuopio
0:0
Latest results of KTP Kotka
Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku ✔ | 19 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 43:16 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Ilves ✔ | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 44:26 | 18 | 39 |
| 3 | KuPS ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | HJK ✔ | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 45:25 | 20 | 35 |
| 5 | SJK ✔ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 37:28 | 9 | 34 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 30:35 | -5 | 25 |
| 7 | VPS | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 22 |
| 8 | Jaro | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 22 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22:38 | -16 | 21 |
| 10 | Haka | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 25:43 | -18 | 15 |
| 12 | KTP ✔ | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21:48 | -27 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
SJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
