Guangdong Mingtu vs Kunming City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/07/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Huadu Stadium (Guangzhou).

Yi League - Round 21

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.08	1.45
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
19	10
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
77% (273/355)	73% (238/324)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08	1.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.13	0.86
Total shots
19	10
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
11	5
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
12	5
Shots outside the Box
7	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
19	11
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
18	16
Passes
77% (273/355)	73% (238/324)
Long passes
53% (27/51)	24% (16/67)
Passes in final third
71% (98/139)	62% (34/55)
Crosses
33% (7/21)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.29	0.74
Throw-ins
32	20
Fouls
16	18
Tackles
57% (13/23)	44% (8/18)
Duels won
67	46
Clearances
19	22
Interceptions
8	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.86	1.13
Goals prevented
-0.07	0.13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+4', 1 - 0, He J. ⚽, Liu Ziheng (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gu Zhiwei ↓, Tang Tianyi ↑,
46', Zheng Zhiming ↓, Zhang Junzhe ↑,
46', Sun Z. ↓, Gong Z. ↑,
46', Tang Daozheng ↓, Qi Long ↑,
46', Yao Zhiyu ↓, Tian Li ↑,
57', Wang S. 🟨,
67', Zhu X. ↓, Wen Y. ↑,
67', Liu Ziheng ↓, Wu Z. ↑,
67', He J. ↓, Li Ming ↑,
73', Li T. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Ablimit Subi (Pen),
84', Tang Wenxuan ↓, Abdusemet E. ↑,
90+2', Song X. ↓, Cao Enze ↑,
90+8', Hu H. ↓, Xue Yuxiang ↑,

Chances of winning

Guangdong Mingtu
47.4%

Draw
28.7%

Kunming City
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

31.3%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

31.2%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangdong Mingtu's performance.

Kunming City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kunming City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangdong Mingtu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kunming City than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kunming City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guangdong Mingtu - Kunming City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.55)	3.17 ↑ (2.88)	3.81 ↑ (2.7)	9.8% (11%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Guangdong Mingtu - Kunming City?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Guangdong Mingtu (3.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Guangdong Mingtu (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Guangdong Mingtu will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Guangdong Mingtu (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ))
Guangdong Mingtu is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Kunming City is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Guangdong Mingtu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Guangdong Mingtu might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangdong Mingtu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangdong Mingtu won against Kunming City?

Guangdong Mingtu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kunming City won against Guangdong Mingtu?

Kunming City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guangdong Mingtu - Kunming City were as follows:

17.05.2025 Kunming City - Guangdong Mingtu 0:0

Latest results of Guangdong Mingtu

19.07.2025 Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangdong Mingtu 2:2 ✺

12.07.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Wenzhou Professional 1:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Guangxi Hengchen - Guangdong Mingtu 1:0 ✺

01.07.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Wuhan Three Towns B 2:3 ✺

27.06.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Quanzhou Yassin 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Kunming City

19.07.2025 Wuhan Three Towns B - Kunming City 1:0 ✺

13.07.2025 Kunming City - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 1:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Shenzhen - Kunming City 2:0 ✺

01.07.2025 Kunming City - Chengdu Rongcheng B 0:1 ✺

27.06.2025 Kunming City - Guangxi Lanhang 0:0 ✺

Chinese Yi League Table

2026

North

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shanghai Port B	2	2	0	0	8:2	6	6
2	Taian Tiankuang	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
3	Dalian Yingbo B	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
4	Lanzhou Longyuan	2	1	1	0	1:0	1	4
5	Dalian Kewei	2	1	1	0	1:0	1	4
6	Shandong Taishan B	2	1	0	1	5:4	1	3
7	Changchun Xidu	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
8	Qingdao Red Lions	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
9	Nantong Haimen	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
10	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
11	Beijing Technology	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0
12	Shanghai Second	2	0	0	2	3:9	-6	0

South

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guizhou Guiyang	3	2	0	1	3:3	0	6
2	Xiamen Feilu	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
3	Hubei Istar	3	1	1	1	4:4	0	4
4	Guangzhou Dandelion	2	1	0	1	2:1	1	3
5	Chengdu Rongcheng B	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
6	Jiangxi Lushan	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
7	Hangzhou Linping	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
8	Shenzhen	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
9	Wuhan Three Towns B	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
10	Ganzhou Ruishi	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
11	Wenzhou Professional	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
12	Guangdong Mingtu	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1

Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )
League Two (Relegation Group: )