Guangdong Mingtu vs Kunming City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/07/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Huadu Stadium (Guangzhou).

Yi League - Round 21

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.08	1.45
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
19	10
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
77% (273/355)	73% (238/324)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08	1.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.13	0.86
Total shots
19	10
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
11	5
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
12	5
Shots outside the Box
7	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
19	11
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
18	16
Passes
77% (273/355)	73% (238/324)
Long passes
53% (27/51)	24% (16/67)
Passes in final third
71% (98/139)	62% (34/55)
Crosses
33% (7/21)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.29	0.74
Throw-ins
32	20
Fouls
16	18
Tackles
57% (13/23)	44% (8/18)
Duels won
67	46
Clearances
19	22
Interceptions
8	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.86	1.13
Goals prevented
-0.07	0.13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+4', 1 - 0, He J. ⚽, Liu Ziheng (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gu Zhiwei ↓, Tang Tianyi ↑,
46', Zheng Zhiming ↓, Zhang Junzhe ↑,
46', Sun Z. ↓, Gong Z. ↑,
46', Tang Daozheng ↓, Qi Long ↑,
46', Yao Zhiyu ↓, Tian Li ↑,
57', Wang S. 🟨,
67', Zhu X. ↓, Wen Y. ↑,
67', Liu Ziheng ↓, Wu Z. ↑,
67', He J. ↓, Li Ming ↑,
73', Li T. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Ablimit Subi (Pen),
84', Tang Wenxuan ↓, Abdusemet E. ↑,
90+2', Song X. ↓, Cao Enze ↑,
90+8', Hu H. ↓, Xue Yuxiang ↑,

Chances of winning

Guangdong Mingtu
47.4%

Draw
28.7%

Kunming City
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

31.3%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

31.2%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangdong Mingtu's performance.

Kunming City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kunming City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangdong Mingtu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kunming City than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kunming City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guangdong Mingtu - Kunming City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.55)	3.17 ↑ (2.88)	3.81 ↑ (2.7)	9.8% (11%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Guangdong Mingtu - Kunming City?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guangdong Mingtu (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ))
Guangdong Mingtu is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Kunming City is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Guangdong Mingtu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Guangdong Mingtu might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangdong Mingtu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangdong Mingtu won against Kunming City?

Guangdong Mingtu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kunming City won against Guangdong Mingtu?

Kunming City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guangdong Mingtu - Kunming City were as follows:

17.05.2025 Kunming City - Guangdong Mingtu 0:0

Latest results of Guangdong Mingtu

19.07.2025 Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangdong Mingtu 2:2 ✺

12.07.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Wenzhou Professional 1:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Guangxi Hengchen - Guangdong Mingtu 1:0 ✺

01.07.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Wuhan Three Towns B 2:3 ✺

27.06.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Quanzhou Yassin 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Kunming City

19.07.2025 Wuhan Three Towns B - Kunming City 1:0 ✺

13.07.2025 Kunming City - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 1:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Shenzhen - Kunming City 2:0 ✺

01.07.2025 Kunming City - Chengdu Rongcheng B 0:1 ✺

27.06.2025 Kunming City - Guangxi Lanhang 0:0 ✺

Chinese Yi League Table

2025

North

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Wuxi Wugou	22	13	6	3	31:14	17	45
2	Shandong Taishan B	22	10	9	3	36:22	14	39
3	Nantong Haimen	22	10	8	4	38:24	14	38
4	Changchun Xidu	22	10	8	4	19:11	8	38
5	Jiangxi Lushan	22	10	5	7	25:22	3	35
6	Hangzhou Linping	22	8	8	6	24:26	-2	32
7	Taian Tiankuang	22	7	5	10	22:25	-3	26
8	Shanghai Port B	22	6	7	9	25:26	-1	25
9	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	22	5	8	9	17:32	-15	23
10	Lanzhou Longyuan	22	5	7	10	21:32	-11	22
11	Beijing Technology	22	5	2	15	21:29	-8	17
12	Hubei Istar	22	3	7	12	23:39	-16	16

South

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guangxi Hengchen	22	18	3	1	47:9	38	57
2	Shenzhen	22	14	6	2	30:13	17	48
3	Chengdu Rongcheng B	22	12	4	6	39:20	19	40
4	Guizhou Zhucheng	22	12	3	7	33:25	8	39
5	Guangzhou Dandelion	22	11	5	6	31:18	13	38
6	Wuhan Three Towns B	22	8	5	9	21:20	1	29
7	Wenzhou Professional	22	6	8	8	21:27	-6	26
8	Ganzhou Ruishi	22	4	11	7	18:28	-10	23
9	Guangdong Mingtu	22	4	8	10	20:32	-12	20
10	Kunming City Star	22	4	7	11	15:31	-16	19
11	Quanzhou Yassin	22	3	6	13	13:30	-17	15
12	Guangxi Lanhang	22	0	6	16	10:45	-35	6

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