Result
2:1
17/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 28
- Referee: Maalinn R. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', Vahermagi J. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Sillamaa R. ⚽, Reimaa R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 0, Piht K. ⚽,
- 52', 2 - 1, Iljin A. ⚽,
- 56', Piht K. 🟨,
- 57', Vahermagi J. ↓, Demidov E. ↑,
- 57', Smirnov A. ↓, Domov P. ↑,
- 61', Karimu M. ↓, Kelement M. ↑,
- 61', Eerme K. ↓, Kriis K. ↑,
- 74', Kelement M. 🟨,
- 74', Kivi A. ↓, Visse A. ↑,
- 74', Sillamaa R. ↓, Kose A. ↑,
- 82', Antonov I. 🟨,
- 87', Saar R. ↓, Prunn S. ↑,
- 87', Kobin J. ↓, Orren K. ↑,
- 90+1', Reimaa R. ↓, Camara N. ↑,
- 90+5', Iljin A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Harju JK Laagri
50.1% | Draw
24.1% | Kuressaare
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harju JK Laagri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Harju JK Laagri's performance.Kuressaare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kuressaare might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (-11.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Harju JK Laagri that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (+11%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kuressaare could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(2.3) |
3.83 ↑
(3.78) |
3.56 ↑
(2.56) |
8.6%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harju won 3.
- Harju has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kuressaare has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Harju has had a series of away games.
- Harju could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Harju won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harju won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Harju JK Laagri won against Kuressaare?
Harju JK Laagri has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kuressaare won against Harju JK Laagri?
Kuressaare has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare were as follows:
09.08.2025
Kuressaare
-
Harju JK Laagri
1:3
29.06.2025
Harju JK Laagri
-
Kuressaare
1:1
16.03.2025
Kuressaare
-
Harju JK Laagri
1:2
25.01.2025
Harju JK Laagri
-
Kuressaare
2:0
04.11.2023
Kuressaare
-
Harju JK Laagri
1:1
Latest results of Harju JK Laagri
Latest results of Kuressaare
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flora | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 74:30 | 44 | 72 |
| 2 | Levadia | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 79:31 | 48 | 72 |
| 3 | Kalju | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 63:35 | 28 | 64 |
| 4 | Paide | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 56:29 | 27 | 62 |
| 5 | Narva | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 53:41 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53:41 | 12 | 49 |
| 7 | Harju JK Laagri | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 40:65 | -25 | 28 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 32 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 30:62 | -32 | 25 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 32 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 37:77 | -40 | 23 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 32 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 27:101 | -74 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
