Harju JK Laagri vs Kuressaare – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Estonian Meistriliiga Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare
Result
2:1
17/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Meistriliiga - Round 28
  • Referee: Maalinn R. (Est)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
estoniaEstoniaSoccernet TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
19
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
914
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
39
Corner Kicks
19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', Vahermagi J. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Sillamaa R. , Reimaa R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Piht K. ,
  • 52', 2 - 1, Iljin A. ,
  • 56', Piht K. 🟨,
  • 57', Vahermagi J. , Demidov E. ,
  • 57', Smirnov A. , Domov P. ,
  • 61', Karimu M. , Kelement M. ,
  • 61', Eerme K. , Kriis K. ,
  • 74', Kelement M. 🟨,
  • 74', Kivi A. , Visse A. ,
  • 74', Sillamaa R. , Kose A. ,
  • 82', Antonov I. 🟨,
  • 87', Saar R. , Prunn S. ,
  • 87', Kobin J. , Orren K. ,
  • 90+1', Reimaa R. , Camara N. ,
  • 90+5', Iljin A. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Harju JK Laagri
50.1%
Draw
24.1%
Kuressaare
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 24.3% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 23.6% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Harju JK Laagri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Harju JK Laagri's performance.
  • Kuressaare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kuressaare might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Harju JK Laagri that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kuressaare could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (2.3)
    3.83
    (3.78)
    3.56
    (2.56)
    8.6%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harju won 3.
    • Harju has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kuressaare has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Harju has had a series of away games.
    • Harju could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Harju won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Harju won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Kuressaare - Harju JK Laagri 1:3
    29.06.2025 Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare 1:1
    16.03.2025 Kuressaare - Harju JK Laagri 1:2
    25.01.2025 Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare 2:0
    04.11.2023 Kuressaare - Harju JK Laagri 1:1
    Latest results of Harju JK Laagri
    Latest results of Kuressaare
    31.08.2025 Nõmme Kalju - Kuressaare 2:0
    24.08.2025 Kuressaare - Flora Tallinn 1:2
    16.08.2025 Paide LM - Kuressaare 5:1
    13.08.2025 Kuressaare - Paide LM 1:2
    Estonian Meistriliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flora29213565:263966
    2Levadia29203670:304063
    3Paide29174847:262155
    4Kalju29174856:332355
    5Narva291451047:361147
    6Parnu JK Vaprus291361050:381245
    7Harju JK Laagri29841737:58-2128
    8Kuressaare30732029:58-2924
    9Tammeka30722137:69-3223
    10Tallinna Kalev29422325:89-6414

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