Mat Caste vs Kurt Parry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
11/12/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ADC Global Championship

Chances of winning


Mat Caste
35.8%
Kurt Parry
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30% 70%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mat Caste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Kurt Parry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mat Caste than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mat Caste that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kurt Parry than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kurt Parry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mat Caste - Kurt Parry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.62)

    1.44
    (1.43)
    8.2%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for Mat Caste - Kurt Parry?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Caste (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Caste have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Parry is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Parry could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Parry will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mat Caste - Kurt Parry were as follows:
    11.12.2025 Kurt Parry - Mat Caste 4:2
    Latest results of Mat Caste
    11.12.2025 Graham Hall - Mat Caste 2:4
    11.12.2025 Robbie Martin - Mat Caste 2:4
    11.12.2025 Kurt Parry - Mat Caste 4:2
    11.12.2025 Mat Caste - Graham Hall 2:4
    06.12.2025 Mat Caste - Jonny Barnes 2:4
    Latest results of Kurt Parry
    11.12.2025 Kurt Parry - Robbie Martin 2:4
    11.12.2025 Graham Hall - Kurt Parry 0:4
    11.12.2025 Kurt Parry - Mat Caste 4:2
    11.12.2025 Robbie Martin - Kurt Parry 4:0
    07.12.2025 Kurt Parry - Jamie Kelling 0:4
    Draw
    2025

    Quarter-finals
    1Haines J.Culleton N.6 : 3
    2Turner S.Martin R.2 : 6
    3Sykes T.Tweddell J.4 : 6
    4Stone G.Barnes J.6 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Haines J.Martin R.7 : 4
    2Tweddell J.Stone G.

    Final
    1Haines J.TBD #2