Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
01/11/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Round 13
  • Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDAZN
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
boliviaBoliviaDAZN
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
denmarkDenmarkDAZN
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
finlandFinlandDAZN
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
paraguayParaguayDAZN
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
spainSpainDAZN Espana
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDAZN
usaUsaDAZN USA
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.11
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
80% (334/418)85% (453/532)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.11
xG on target (xGOT)
2.480.34
Total shots
197
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
3522
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
714
Passes
80% (334/418)85% (453/532)
Long passes
61% (28/46)58% (25/43)
Passes in final third
74% (126/171)77% (106/138)
Crosses
33% (5/15)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.96
Throw-ins
1627
Fouls
147
Tackles
61% (11/18)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4447
Clearances
2015
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.342.48
Goals prevented
-0.66-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Bertaccini A. ,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Servais M. , Antonio B. (A),
  • 25', 2 - 1, Cvetkovic M. , Angulo N. (A),
  • 42', Cvetkovic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Bertaccini A. , Verschaeren Y. ,
  • 58', Saliba N. , Stroeykens M. ,
  • 58', Antonio B. , St. Jago T. ,
  • 58', Hammar F. , Raman B. ,
  • 60', Salifou D. 🟨,
  • 60', 3 - 1, Angulo N. , Hazard T. (A),
  • 71', Camara I. , Sardella K. ,
  • 71', Cvetkovic M. , Degreef T. ,
  • 75', Angulo N. , N'Diaye M. ,
  • 85', Diouf G. , Struyf I. ,
  • 85', Servais M. , Bafdili B. ,

Chances of winning


Anderlecht
61.2%
Draw
21.7%
KV Mechelen
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 22.3% 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 21.6% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Anderlecht - KV Mechelen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.61)
    4.34
    (4.22)
    5.44
    (4.95)
    6%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Anderlecht - KV Mechelen?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Mechelen will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Anderlecht: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Mechelen (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 3.
    • Anderlecht has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mechelen is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mechelen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Anderlecht is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Anderlecht: Ashimeru M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O. (Knock) Kiki (Surgery) Kireev M. (Muscle Injury) Ozdemir H. (Collarbone injury)
    • There are questionable in Anderlecht: Foket T. (Inactive) Rits M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Mechelen: Mrabti K. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:29. (average 2.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:12. (average 2.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Anderlecht - KV Mechelen were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Anderlecht - KV Mechelen 4:1
    17.08.2024 KV Mechelen - Anderlecht 1:3
    01.02.2024 KV Mechelen - Anderlecht 2:2
    07.10.2023 Anderlecht - KV Mechelen 3:1
    23.04.2023 Anderlecht - KV Mechelen 2:3
    Latest results of Anderlecht
    Latest results of KV Mechelen
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG ✔ 27169243:152857
    2Club Brugge KV ✔ 27182751:321956
    3St. Truiden ✔ 27173744:301454
    4Anderlecht27127839:33643
    5KV Mechelen27119736:30642
    6Genk27108939:40-138
    7Gent271061141:41036
    8St. Liege271051225:34-935
    9Westerlo27981034:38-435
    10Antwerp27961230:30033
    11Charleroi27961236:37-133
    12Waregem27781237:44-729
    13Leuven27771329:42-1328
    14Cercle Brugge KSV276101134:40-628
    15RAAL La Louviere275111122:31-926
    16Dender27391521:44-2318

          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
          Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
    Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
    St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )