Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 29
- Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (201/279) | 79% (337/429) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (201/279) | 79% (337/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/53) | 48% (23/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (67/99) | 71% (117/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 22% (6/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', De Cat N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Llansana E. ↓, Stroeykens M. ↑,
- 60', Degreef T. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
- 62', Zekri M. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 62', Mrabti K. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
- 66', Stroeykens M. 🟨,
- 67', Ilic M. 🟨,
- 68', Saliba N. 🟨,
- 72', Bertaccini A. 🟨,
- 83', Halhal R. ↓, Vanrafelghem K. ↑,
- 83', Boersma B. ↓, Struyf I. ↑,
- 85', Camara I. ↓, Sardella K. ↑,
- 85', Hazard T. ↓, Verschaeren Y. ↑,
- 89', Bertaccini A. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 0, van Brederode M. ⚽,
- 90+3', Cvetkovic M. ↓, Kanate I. ↑,
- 90+3', van Brederode M. ↓, Decoene M. ↑,
- 90+4', Decoene M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Diarra M. 🟨,
- 90+8', Vanrafelghem K. 🟨,
- 90+8', Coosemans C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
KV Mechelen
32% | Draw
27.5% | Anderlecht
40.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anderlecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anderlecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
KV Mechelen - Anderlecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↓
(3.42) |
3.44 ↓
(3.52) |
2.33 ↑
(2.07) |
5.7%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Anderlecht?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Anderlecht will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- DNB - Mechelen (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 0.
- Mechelen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Anderlecht is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Anderlecht might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O.
(Knee Injury)
Diouf G.
(Inactive)
Golic L.
(Muscle Injury)
Konate M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Anderlecht: Huerta Valera C. S.
(Groin Injury)
Kana M.
(Thigh Injury)
Verschaeren Y.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mechelen: Servais M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:45. (average 1.5:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.8:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Anderlecht?
KV Mechelen has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Anderlecht won against KV Mechelen?
Anderlecht has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Anderlecht were as follows:
01.11.2025
Anderlecht
-
KV Mechelen
3:1
26.01.2025
Anderlecht
-
KV Mechelen
4:1
17.08.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Anderlecht
1:3
01.02.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Anderlecht
2:2
07.10.2023
Anderlecht
-
KV Mechelen
3:1
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Latest results of Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50:17 | 33 | 66 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 63 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47:35 | 12 | 57 |
| 4 | Gent | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49:43 | 6 | 45 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43:39 | 4 | 44 |
| 7 | Genk | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:47 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 39 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Waregem | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 32 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:47 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24:51 | -27 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
