Result
1:0
02/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 28
- Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 |
 Netherlands | Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (296/357) | 82% (334/405) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 67% (61/91) | 72% (93/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 28% (9/32) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 68% (17/25) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', Cagro W. 🟨,
- 30', Henderson E. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Cagro W. ⚽, Henderson E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Marsa J. ↓, Welsh S. ↑,
- 46', Ouattara A. ↓, Foulon D. ↑,
- 46', Shinton N. 🟥,
- 49', Cagro W. ↓, Matijas D. ↑,
- 54', Schoofs R. 🟨,
- 60', Mrabti K. (Pen),
- 60', Raemaekers T. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 62', Redan D. ↓, Weymans M. ↑,
- 62', van der Kust D. ↓, Al Sahafi M. ↑,
- 62', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Tshimanga D. ↑,
- 71', Mrabti K. ↓, Bafdili B. ↑,
- 81', Storm N. ↓, Dahl P. ↑,
- 86', Belghali R. 🟨,
- 90', Dahl P. 🟨,
- 90+2', Welsh S. 🟨,
- 90+5', Lauberbach L. 🟨,
- 90+11', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Beerschot Wilrijk
25.9% | Draw
27.1% | KV Mechelen
47% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beerschot Wilrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Beerschot Wilrijk - KV Mechelen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.71 ↓
(3.81) |
3.54 ↓
(3.69) |
2.04 ↑
(1.9) |
4.3%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Beerschot Wilrijk - KV Mechelen?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Beerschot Wilrijk will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Mechelen will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 30.4% – 86.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- Beerschot Wilrijk is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Beerschot Wilrijk won 1.
- Beerschot Wilrijk is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Mechelen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Mechelen will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Beerschot Wilrijk: Plat B.
(Yellow Cards)
Sanusi R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Mechelen: Van Cleemput J.
(Hip Injury)
Van den Eynden B.
(Muscle Injury)
Vanheusden Z.
(Hernia)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Beerschot Wilrijk won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:20 (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Beerschot Wilrijk won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Beerschot Wilrijk won against KV Mechelen?
Beerschot Wilrijk has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Beerschot Wilrijk?
KV Mechelen has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Beerschot Wilrijk - KV Mechelen were as follows:
04.12.2024
Beerschot Wilrijk
-
KV Mechelen
3:2
24.11.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Beerschot Wilrijk
3:0
Latest results of Beerschot Wilrijk
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
