Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs KV Mechelen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/05/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Den Dreef (Heverlee).

: Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 7
Referee: De Cremer W. (Bel)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.36	2.42
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
5	15
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
85% (356/421)	83% (340/408)
Yellow Cards
5	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.36	2.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.53	1.58
Total shots
5	15
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
1	6
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
4	12
Shots outside the Box
1	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
25	33
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	5
Free Kicks
12	14
Passes
85% (356/421)	83% (340/408)
Long passes
55% (31/56)	51% (26/51)
Passes in final third
61% (64/105)	80% (126/158)
Crosses
16% (3/19)	33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.55	2.00
Throw-ins
16	20
Fouls
14	12
Tackles
44% (8/18)	42% (5/12)
Duels won
43	39
Clearances
18	22
Interceptions
9	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.58	1.53
Goals prevented
-0.42	0.53

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Verstraete B. 🟨,
38', Schrijvers S. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Schoofs R. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Banzuzi E. 🟨,
58', Osifo M. ↓, Kurucay H. ↑,
58', Maziz Y. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
70', Lauberbach L. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
70', Verlinden T. ↓, Balikwisha W. ↑,
70', Banzuzi E. ↓, George W. ↑,
80', Nyakossi R. ↓, Pletinckx E. ↑,
80', Mrabti K. ↓, Hairemans G. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Storm N. ⚽,
83', Van den Eynden B. 🟨,
90', 1 - 2, Pletinckx E. ⚽, Vlietinck T. (A),
90+1', Belghali R. ↓, Pflucke P. ↑,
90+1', Storm N. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
90+1', Balikwisha W. 🟨,
90+2', Pflucke P. 🟨,
90+3', Leysen T. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
36.5%

Draw
26.9%

KV Mechelen
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.2%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

27.6%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.76)	3.52 ↑ (3.37)	2.59 ↑ (2.54)	5.5% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leuven (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Oud-Heverlee Leuven will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Leuven: Maertens M. (Muscle Injury) Tsoungui A. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Mechelen: Foulon D. (Calf Injury) Ngoy J. (Injury) Touba A. (Thigh Injury) Vanheusden Z. (Hernia)
There are questionable in Leuven: Akimoto T. (Thigh Injury) Mijatovic J. (Knock)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:36. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.8:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against KV Mechelen?

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?

KV Mechelen has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen were as follows:

13.04.2025 KV Mechelen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1

31.01.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen 1:0

05.10.2024 KV Mechelen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5:0

27.04.2024 KV Mechelen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3:0

30.03.2024 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen 2:3

Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven

26.04.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège 1:1 ✺

22.04.2025 Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Dender EH 4:4 ✺

13.04.2025 KV Mechelen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Westerlo - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:2 ✺

Latest results of KV Mechelen

26.04.2025 Westerlo - KV Mechelen 2:2 ✺

22.04.2025 KV Mechelen - Westerlo 2:3 ✺

19.04.2025 Charleroi - KV Mechelen 3:0 ✺

13.04.2025 KV Mechelen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1 ✺

04.04.2025 KV Mechelen - Dender EH 5:2 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Antwerp	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Leuven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Anderlecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cercle Brugge KSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Charleroi	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Club Brugge KV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Dender	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Genk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Gent	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	KV Mechelen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	St. Liege	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Waregem	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Westerlo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Royale Union SG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	RAAL La Louviere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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Which TV channels are streaming of Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Netherlands	Sporza