Result
1:1
25/10/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 12
- Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (359/427) | 80% (270/339) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (359/427) | 80% (270/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (27/63) | 55% (29/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (107/137) | 57% (58/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.71 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Hammar F. 🟨,
- 8', Koudou T. 🟨,
- 33', Bafdili B. 🟨,
- 35', Pletinckx E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bafdili B. ↓, Salifou D. ↑,
- 48', Maertens M. ↓, Mijatovic J. ↑,
- 53', Gil O. 🟨,
- 55', Lakomy L. 🟨,
- 63', Gil O. ↓, Opoku D. ↑,
- 63', Ikwuemesi C. ↓, Kaba S. ↑,
- 73', Zekri M. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 0, Koudou T. ⚽, Lauberbach L. (A),
- 81', Lakomy L. ↓, Traore A. K. ↑,
- 82', Nyakossi R. ↓, Verlinden T. ↑,
- 86', Lauberbach L. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
- 90', Kaba S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Servais M. ↓, St. Jago T. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Pletinckx E. ⚽, Maziz Y. (A),
Chances of winning
KV Mechelen
42.5% | Draw
27.4% | Oud-Heverlee Leuven
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
KV Mechelen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(1.92) |
3.57 ↓
(3.7) |
3.34 ↓
(3.7) |
3.1%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Leuven will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 3.
- In recent matches, Mechelen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Leuven is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Mechelen might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Mechelen: Kiki
(Surgery)
Kireev M.
(Muscle Injury)
Ozdemir H.
(Collarbone injury)
St. Jago T.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Mechelen: De Wolf O.
(Knock)
Mrabti K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Leuven: Maertens M.
(Injury)
Maziz Y.
(Injury)
Schrijvers S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 2.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
KV Mechelen has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against KV Mechelen?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven were as follows:
03.05.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
KV Mechelen
1:2
13.04.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:1
31.01.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
KV Mechelen
1:0
05.10.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
5:0
27.04.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
3:0
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31:8 | 23 | 36 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 32 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 28 |
| 4 | St. Truiden | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 20:17 | 3 | 24 |
| 6 | Gent | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 22 |
| 7 | Waregem | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | Genk | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Charleroi | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | St. Liege | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13:19 | -6 | 18 |
| 11 | RAAL La Louviere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 | Westerlo | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Leuven | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 15 |
| 14 | Antwerp | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Dender | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 10:24 | -14 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
