Result
2:2
01/02/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 23
- Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 2, Sporza, Sporza |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (236/328) | 76% (284/374) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 3.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (236/328) | 76% (284/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/63) | 57% (27/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (60/108) | 71% (61/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (17/22) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.04 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', Marsa J. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Schrijvers S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 35', Akimoto T. 🟨,
- 43', Dussenne N. ↓, Ominami T. ↑,
- 45+4', Lakomy L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Halhal R. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 0, Ikwuemesi C. ⚽, Ominami T. (A),
- 55', Marsa J. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 55', Kireev M. ↓, Vanrafelghem K. ↑,
- 56', Koudou T. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 1, Servais M. ⚽,
- 63', Vanrafelghem K. 🟨,
- 65', Schrijvers S. 🟨,
- 69', Verlinden T. ↓, Maertens M. ↑,
- 69', Gil O. ↓, Opoku D. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Vanrafelghem K. ⚽, Boersma B. (A),
- 79', Schrijvers S. ↓, Verstraete B. ↑,
- 79', Maziz Y. ↓, Traore A. K. ↑,
- 88', Mrabti K. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
- 90', St. Jago T. 🟨,
- 90+2', Hammar F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
43% | Draw
28.8% | KV Mechelen
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2
(2.2) |
3.28 ↑
(3.25) |
3.38 ↑
(3.3) |
5.5%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Mechelen will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Mechelen (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 1.
- Leuven has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mechelen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Leuven may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Leuven could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Leuven: Kayo B.
(Knock)
Vlietinck T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mechelen: Raman B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:36. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against KV Mechelen?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
KV Mechelen has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen were as follows:
25.10.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:1
03.05.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
KV Mechelen
1:2
13.04.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:1
31.01.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
KV Mechelen
1:0
05.10.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
5:0
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
