Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 7
- Referee: De Cremer W. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 |
Netherlands | Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.36 | 2.42 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
85% (356/421) | 83% (340/408) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.36 | 2.42 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.53 | 1.58 |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 33 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
85% (356/421) | 83% (340/408) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (31/56) | 51% (26/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
61% (64/105) | 80% (126/158) |
Crosses |
---|
16% (3/19) | 33% (6/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.55 | 2.00 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
44% (8/18) | 42% (5/12) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 39 |
Clearances |
---|
18 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.58 | 1.53 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.42 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', Verstraete B. 🟨,
- 38', Schrijvers S. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Schoofs R. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Banzuzi E. 🟨,
- 58', Osifo M. ↓, Kurucay H. ↑,
- 58', Maziz Y. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
- 70', Lauberbach L. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
- 70', Verlinden T. ↓, Balikwisha W. ↑,
- 70', Banzuzi E. ↓, George W. ↑,
- 80', Nyakossi R. ↓, Pletinckx E. ↑,
- 80', Mrabti K. ↓, Hairemans G. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 2, Storm N. ⚽,
- 83', Van den Eynden B. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 2, Pletinckx E. ⚽, Vlietinck T. (A),
- 90+1', Belghali R. ↓, Pflucke P. ↑,
- 90+1', Storm N. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 90+1', Balikwisha W. 🟨,
- 90+2', Pflucke P. 🟨,
- 90+3', Leysen T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36.5% | Draw 26.9% | KV Mechelen 36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.6 ↓ (2.76) |
3.52 ↑ (3.37) |
2.59 ↑ (2.54) |
5.5% (5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leuven (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Oud-Heverlee Leuven will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Leuven: Maertens M.
(Muscle Injury)
Tsoungui A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mechelen: Foulon D.
(Calf Injury)
Ngoy J.
(Injury)
Touba A.
(Thigh Injury)
Vanheusden Z.
(Hernia)
- There are questionable in Leuven: Akimoto T.
(Thigh Injury)
Mijatovic J.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:36. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against KV Mechelen?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
KV Mechelen has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen were as follows:
13.04.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:1
31.01.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
KV Mechelen
1:0
05.10.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
5:0
27.04.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
3:0
30.03.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
KV Mechelen
2:3
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Antwerp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Club Brugge KV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Dender | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | KV Mechelen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | St. Liege | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | St. Truiden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Waregem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Westerlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Royale Union SG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | RAAL La Louviere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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