RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Easi Arena (La Louvière).

Jupiler Pro League - Round 26
Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)
Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.31	0.65
Ball possession
27%	73%
Total shots
7	6
Shots on target
2	2
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
4	4
Passes
69% (154/222)	90% (577/639)
Yellow cards
1	0
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.31	0.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.04	0.92
Total shots
7	6
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
3	1
Blocked shots
2	3
Shots inside the box
5	3
Shots outside the box
2	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
11	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	4
Free kicks
15	13
Passes
69% (154/222)	90% (577/639)
Long passes
26% (14/54)	65% (30/46)
Passes in final third
37% (26/70)	81% (145/180)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.17	0.79
Throw ins
29	17
Fouls
13	15
Tackles
76% (13/17)	47% (7/15)
Duels won
41	45
Clearances
10	40
Interceptions
9	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	1
xGOT faced
0.92	0.04
Goals prevented
-1.08	0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Ashimeru M. 🟥,
34', Fall P. M. ↓, Maes O. ↑,
37', 0 - 1, Mrabti K. ⚽, Koudou T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, Vanrafelghem K. ⚽, Boersma B. (A),
59', Afriyie J. 🟨,
63', Afriyie J. ↓, Makate Bokoya C. ↑,
63', Ito J. ↓, Lutonda T. ↑,
75', Lahssaini S. ↓, Gueulette S. ↑,
75', Liongola J. ↓, Benavides D. ↑,
76', Servais M. ↓, Marsa J. ↑,
77', Vanrafelghem K. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
82', van Brederode M. ↓, Kireev M. ↑,
87', Mrabti K. ↓, Salifou D. ↑,
88', Boersma B. ↓, Raman B. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

RAAL La Louvière
41.1%

Draw
28.4%

KV Mechelen
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.6%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

27.6%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RAAL La Louvière has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

RAAL La Louvière - KV Mechelen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.23)	3.32 ↓ (3.43)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)	5.8% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for RAAL La Louvière - KV Mechelen?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. La Louvière will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Mechelen will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 17% – 68.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.75 - Mechelen (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Mechelen (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Mechelen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
La Louvière might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in La Louvière: Belkheir M. (Knee Injury) Lamego D. (Inactive)
There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O. (Knee Injury) Lenaerts M. (Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, La Louvière won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has RAAL La Louvière won against KV Mechelen?

RAAL La Louvière has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against RAAL La Louvière?

KV Mechelen has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between RAAL La Louvière - KV Mechelen were as follows:

30.08.2025 KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière 3:2

05.07.2025 KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière 1:0

30.10.2024 KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière 3:1

Latest results of RAAL La Louvière

15.02.2026 Anderlecht - RAAL La Louvière 0:0 ✺

08.02.2026 Saint-Gilloise - RAAL La Louvière 2:1 ✺

30.01.2026 RAAL La Louvière - Gent 1:1 ✺

24.01.2026 RAAL La Louvière - Sint-Truidense 1:2 ✺

16.01.2026 Club Brugge - RAAL La Louvière 2:3 ✺

Latest results of KV Mechelen

13.02.2026 KV Mechelen - Genk 2:3 ✺

08.02.2026 KV Mechelen - Royal Antwerp 2:0 ✺

01.02.2026 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen 2:2 ✺

25.01.2026 KV Mechelen - Westerlo 1:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen 1:0 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Royale Union SG	30	19	9	2	50:17	33	66
2	Club Brugge KV	30	20	3	7	59:36	23	63
3	St. Truiden	30	18	3	9	47:35	12	57
4	Gent	30	13	6	11	49:43	6	45
5	KV Mechelen	30	12	9	9	39:37	2	45
6	Anderlecht	30	12	8	10	43:39	4	44
7	Genk	30	11	9	10	46:47	-1	42
8	St. Liege	30	11	7	12	27:35	-8	40
9	Westerlo	30	10	9	11	36:40	-4	39
10	Antwerp	30	9	8	13	31:32	-1	35
11	Charleroi	30	9	7	14	38:42	-4	34
12	Leuven	30	9	7	14	32:43	-11	34
13	Waregem	30	8	8	14	38:47	-9	32
14	Cercle Brugge KSV	30	7	10	13	39:47	-8	31
15	RAAL La Louviere	30	6	13	11	30:37	-7	31
16	Dender	30	3	10	17	24:51	-27	19

      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
      Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )