Result
0:2
22/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 26
- Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (154/222) | 90% (577/639) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (154/222) | 90% (577/639) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (14/54) | 65% (30/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 37% (26/70) | 81% (145/180) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.08 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', Ashimeru M. 🟥,
- 34', Fall P. M. ↓, Maes O. ↑,
- 37', 0 - 1, Mrabti K. ⚽, Koudou T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 2, Vanrafelghem K. ⚽, Boersma B. (A),
- 59', Afriyie J. 🟨,
- 63', Afriyie J. ↓, Makate Bokoya C. ↑,
- 63', Ito J. ↓, Lutonda T. ↑,
- 75', Lahssaini S. ↓, Gueulette S. ↑,
- 75', Liongola J. ↓, Benavides D. ↑,
- 76', Servais M. ↓, Marsa J. ↑,
- 77', Vanrafelghem K. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 82', van Brederode M. ↓, Kireev M. ↑,
- 87', Mrabti K. ↓, Salifou D. ↑,
- 88', Boersma B. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
Chances of winning
RAAL La Louvière
41.1% | Draw
28.4% | KV Mechelen
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RAAL La Louvière has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
RAAL La Louvière - KV Mechelen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.23) |
3.32 ↓
(3.43) |
3.1 ↓
(3.15) |
5.8%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for RAAL La Louvière - KV Mechelen?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. La Louvière will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Mechelen will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 17% – 68.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Mechelen (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Mechelen (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Mechelen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- La Louvière might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in La Louvière: Belkheir M.
(Knee Injury)
Lamego D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O.
(Knee Injury)
Lenaerts M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, La Louvière won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has RAAL La Louvière won against KV Mechelen?
RAAL La Louvière has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against RAAL La Louvière?
KV Mechelen has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RAAL La Louvière - KV Mechelen were as follows:
30.08.2025
KV Mechelen
-
RAAL La Louvière
3:2
05.07.2025
KV Mechelen
-
RAAL La Louvière
1:0
30.10.2024
KV Mechelen
-
RAAL La Louvière
3:1
Latest results of RAAL La Louvière
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 57 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 27 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 44:30 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Genk | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Gent | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 25:34 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:30 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 36:37 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 | Waregem | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 37:44 | -7 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | Dender | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
