Result
3:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 6
- Referee: Ledda M. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (410/480) | 67% (153/228) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.76 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (410/480) | 67% (153/228) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (23/50) | 44% (23/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (64/103) | 47% (41/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 2.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Schoofs R. ⚽, Konate M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Pau M. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
- 46', Diouf G. ↓, Lauberbach L. ↑,
- 46', Guindo M. ↓, Mendy O. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, De Wolf O. (Own goal),
- 70', Lutonda T. ↓, Benavides D. ↑,
- 76', Mrabti K. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 81', Schoofs R. ↓, Teague R. ↑,
- 81', Zekri M. ↓, Pflucke P. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 2, Halhal R. (Own goal),
- 89', Liongola J. ↓, Okou Y. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 2, Lauberbach L. ⚽, Bafdili B. (A),
- 90+2', Maes O. ↓, Gueulette S. ↑,
- 90+5', 3 - 2, Lauberbach L. ⚽,
- 90+6', Lauberbach L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
KV Mechelen
49.9% | Draw
26.1% | RAAL La Louvière
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KV Mechelen's form might have worsened.RAAL La Louvière has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RAAL La Louvière's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KV Mechelen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RAAL La Louvière, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.54) |
3.69 ↓
(4.35) |
4.04 ↓
(5.8) |
3.7%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 18 - 90%). La Louvière will win (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 76.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- Mechelen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- La Louvière has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Mechelen is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Mechelen: Kiki
(Surgery)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against RAAL La Louvière?
KV Mechelen has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RAAL La Louvière won against KV Mechelen?
RAAL La Louvière has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière were as follows:
05.07.2025
KV Mechelen
-
RAAL La Louvière
1:0
30.10.2024
KV Mechelen
-
RAAL La Louvière
3:1
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Latest results of RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24:6 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Gent | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:17 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Waregem | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Genk | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | St. Liege | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 14 |
| 12 | RAAL La Louviere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Antwerp | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Leuven | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | Dender | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5:19 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
