KV Mechelen vs RAAL La Louvière – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Round 6
  • Referee: Ledda M. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumDAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.060.78
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
85% (410/480)67% (153/228)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.060.78
xG on target (xGOT)
2.760.35
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2724
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
912
Passes
85% (410/480)67% (153/228)
Long passes
46% (23/50)44% (23/52)
Passes in final third
62% (64/103)47% (41/87)
Crosses
43% (9/21)17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.750.36
Throw-ins
2316
Fouls
139
Tackles
56% (9/16)71% (15/21)
Duels won
5255
Clearances
4120
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.352.76
Goals prevented
0.35-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Schoofs R. , Konate M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Pau M. , Ito J. ,
  • 46', Diouf G. , Lauberbach L. ,
  • 46', Guindo M. , Mendy O. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, De Wolf O. (Own goal),
  • 70', Lutonda T. , Benavides D. ,
  • 76', Mrabti K. , Antonio B. ,
  • 81', Schoofs R. , Teague R. ,
  • 81', Zekri M. , Pflucke P. ,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Halhal R. (Own goal),
  • 89', Liongola J. , Okou Y. ,
  • 90', 2 - 2, Lauberbach L. , Bafdili B. (A),
  • 90+2', Maes O. , Gueulette S. ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 2, Lauberbach L. ,
  • 90+6', Lauberbach L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


KV Mechelen
49.9%
Draw
26.1%
RAAL La Louvière
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 21.9% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4% 21.3% 16%

KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.93
(1.54)
3.69
(4.35)
4.04
(5.8)
3.7%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 18 - 90%). La Louvière will win (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 76.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
    • Mechelen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • La Louvière has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Mechelen is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Mechelen: Kiki (Surgery)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière were as follows:
    05.07.2025 KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière 1:0
    30.10.2024 KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière 3:1
    Latest results of KV Mechelen
    16.08.2025 KV Mechelen - Gent 1:1
    09.08.2025 Westerlo - KV Mechelen 0:1
    01.08.2025 KV Mechelen - Club Brugge 2:1
    Latest results of RAAL La Louvière
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG20126236:122442
    2Club Brugge KV20132536:221441
    3St. Truiden20123530:23739
    4Anderlecht20105528:22635
    5KV Mechelen2087525:22331
    6St. Liege2083918:23-527
    7Antwerp2076724:21327
    8Gent2075828:29-126
    9Genk2067727:31-425
    10Westerlo2066828:30-224
    11Charleroi2066823:26-324
    12Waregem2058726:29-323
    13Leuven20551019:29-1020
    14RAAL La Louviere2048815:21-620
    15Cercle Brugge KSV2038925:30-517
    16Dender20271116:34-1813

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