Result
0:2
25/02/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 27
- Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)
Chances of winning
Seraing
24.1% | Draw
26.3% | KV Mechelen
49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seraing's form might have worsened.KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KV Mechelen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seraing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KV Mechelen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Seraing - KV Mechelen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.9 ↑
(2.86) |
3.64 ↑
(3.4) |
1.93 ↓
(2.4) |
4.9%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Seraing - KV Mechelen?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Seraing will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Mechelen will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 47.5% – 89.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenger Pro League and 13).
- Seraing has the most likely position - 18 (57.89%), has project points - 24, has currently - 19, has a very good chance of relegated (96%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Mechelen has the most likely position - 13 (34.19%), has project points - 36, has currently - 27, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 27, small importance 20, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Seraing won 2.
- Seraing is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Mechelen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Seraing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Mechelen will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Seraing won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams Seraing won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Seraing won against KV Mechelen?
Seraing has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Seraing?
KV Mechelen has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Seraing - KV Mechelen were as follows:
20.12.2022
KV Mechelen
-
Seraing
1:0
03.09.2022
KV Mechelen
-
Seraing
2:3
Latest results of Seraing
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St. Liege | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Antwerp | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | KV Mechelen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Waregem | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Dender | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | St. Truiden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Westerlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | RAAL La Louviere | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
