Result
0:2
25/02/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 27
- Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)
Chances of winning
Seraing 24.1% | Draw 26.3% | KV Mechelen 49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seraing's form might have worsened.KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KV Mechelen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seraing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KV Mechelen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Seraing - KV Mechelen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.9 ↑ (2.86) |
3.64 ↑ (3.4) |
1.93 ↓ (2.4) |
4.9% (6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Seraing - KV Mechelen?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Seraing will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Mechelen will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 47.5% – 89.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenger Pro League and 13).
- Seraing has the most likely position - 18 (57.89%), has project points - 24, has currently - 19, has a very good chance of relegated (96%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Mechelen has the most likely position - 13 (34.19%), has project points - 36, has currently - 27, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 27, small importance 20, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Seraing won 2.
- Seraing is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Mechelen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Seraing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Mechelen will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Seraing won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams Seraing won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Seraing won against KV Mechelen?
Seraing has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Seraing?
KV Mechelen has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Seraing - KV Mechelen were as follows:
20.12.2022
KV Mechelen
-
Seraing
1:0
03.09.2022
KV Mechelen
-
Seraing
2:3
Latest results of Seraing
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )