Standard Liège vs KV Mechelen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Maurice Dufrasnestadion (Liège).

Jupiler Pro League - Round 7
Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)
Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.15	0.93
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
3	6
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
12	5
Passes
79% (297/377)	78% (270/346)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15	0.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.21	1.30
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
7	10
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
12	5
Touches in opposition box
28	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
7	9
Passes
79% (297/377)	78% (270/346)
Long passes
53% (26/49)	33% (14/43)
Passes in final third
61% (71/117)	64% (42/66)
Crosses
25% (6/24)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.20	0.95
Throw-ins
26	20
Fouls
10	8
Tackles
58% (7/12)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
36	46
Clearances
27	38
Interceptions
14	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
xGOT faced
1.30	1.21
Goals prevented
0.30	0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Homawoo J. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
44', Bafdili B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', El Hankouri M. ↓, Eckert Ayensa D. ↑,
58', Konate M. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Ilaimaharitra M. (Pen),
60', Bafdili B. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Mrabti K. ⚽,
76', Halhal R. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
76', Mrabti K. ↓, van Brederode M. ↑,
84', Said R. ↓, Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↑,
84', Ilaimaharitra M. ↓, Sahabo H. ↑,
87', Lauberbach L. ↓, Teague R. ↑,
90+2', Sahabo H. 🟨,
90+3', Henry T. 🟨,
90+5', Karamoko I. 🟨,
90+7', Diouf G. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Standard Liège
41.2%

Draw
29.9%

KV Mechelen
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.4%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

29.8%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KV Mechelen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Standard Liège - KV Mechelen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.5)	3.18 ↓ (3.3)	3.3 ↑ (2.75)	4.3% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Standard Liège - KV Mechelen?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Standard will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Mechelen will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).

BTS - no (votes: 4 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KV Mechelen will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Standard won 0.
Standard is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Mechelen is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Standard: Bates D. (Knee Injury) Eckert Ayensa D. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Mechelen: Kiki (Surgery) Marsa J. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Standard won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Standard won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.5:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Standard Liège won against KV Mechelen?

Standard Liège has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Standard Liège?

KV Mechelen has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Standard Liège - KV Mechelen were as follows:

10.05.2025 KV Mechelen - Standard Liège 0:0

29.03.2025 Standard Liège - KV Mechelen 2:2

26.12.2024 KV Mechelen - Standard Liège 0:0

09.08.2024 Standard Liège - KV Mechelen 0:0

25.05.2024 KV Mechelen - Standard Liège 3:2

Latest results of Standard Liège

31.08.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège 1:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Standard Liège - Cercle Brugge 0:3 ✺

16.08.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Standard Liège 3:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Standard Liège - Genk 2:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Standard Liège - Dender EH 1:1 ✺

Latest results of KV Mechelen

30.08.2025 KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière 3:2 ✺

24.08.2025 Royal Antwerp - KV Mechelen 2:1 ✺

16.08.2025 KV Mechelen - Gent 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Westerlo - KV Mechelen 0:1 ✺

01.08.2025 KV Mechelen - Club Brugge 2:1 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Royale Union SG	8	6	2	0	17:4	13	20
2	St. Truiden	8	4	2	2	11:9	2	14
3	Club Brugge KV	7	4	1	2	9:5	4	13
4	KV Mechelen	8	3	4	1	10:8	2	13
5	Charleroi	8	3	3	2	12:10	2	12
6	Anderlecht	7	3	2	2	12:8	4	11
7	Gent	7	3	2	2	11:9	2	11
8	St. Liege	8	3	2	3	8:10	-2	11
9	Waregem	8	3	1	4	11:13	-2	10
10	RAAL La Louviere	8	3	1	4	7:9	-2	10
11	Antwerp	8	2	4	2	9:9	0	10
12	Westerlo	7	3	0	4	11:13	-2	9
13	Cercle Brugge KSV	8	2	3	3	10:9	1	9
14	Genk	8	2	2	4	10:12	-2	8
15	Leuven	8	2	1	5	7:16	-9	7
16	Dender	8	0	2	6	2:13	-11	2

      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
      Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )