KV Mechelen vs Standard Liège – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
28/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Round 16
  • Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDAZN
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
boliviaBoliviaDAZN
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
paraguayParaguayDAZN
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
spainSpainDAZN Espana
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDAZN
usaUsaDAZN USA
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.410.96
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
85% (454/533)81% (347/430)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.410.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.030.85
Total shots
96
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
229
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
85% (454/533)81% (347/430)
Long passes
52% (27/52)45% (24/53)
Passes in final third
76% (123/161)59% (64/109)
Crosses
26% (6/23)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.52
Throw-ins
2911
Fouls
1110
Tackles
67% (8/12)68% (13/19)
Duels won
3851
Clearances
1836
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.850.03
Goals prevented
-0.150.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Dierckx D. , Eckert Ayensa D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Henry T. , Nkada T. ,
  • 46', Nielsen C. , Kuavita L. ,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Eckert Ayensa D. , Mehssatou Sepulveda N. (A),
  • 67', Konate M. , Mrabti K. ,
  • 67', Salifou D. , Zekri M. ,
  • 67', Struyf I. , Antonio B. ,
  • 74', Mohr T. 🟨,
  • 78', Mohr T. , Calut A. ,
  • 78', Raman B. , Bande H. ,
  • 82', Koudou T. , Bafdili B. ,
  • 88', Mrabti K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


KV Mechelen
40%
Draw
28.4%
Standard Liège
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 27.6% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 27.2% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • KV Mechelen - Standard Liège Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.25)
    3.32
    (3.42)
    3.02
    (3.11)
    5.3%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Standard Liège?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Standard will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 42%87.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Mechelen could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O. (Knee Injury) Hammar F. (Yellow Cards) Kiki (Surgery) Kireev M. (Muscle Injury) Ozdemir H. (Collarbone injury) Teague R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Standard: Bates D. (Knee Injury) Bolingoli B. (Injury) Fossey M. (Muscle Injury) Ilaimaharitra M. (Red Card)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Standard Liège were as follows:
    12.09.2025 Standard Liège - KV Mechelen 1:1
    10.05.2025 KV Mechelen - Standard Liège 0:0
    29.03.2025 Standard Liège - KV Mechelen 2:2
    26.12.2024 KV Mechelen - Standard Liège 0:0
    09.08.2024 Standard Liège - KV Mechelen 0:0
    Latest results of KV Mechelen
    23.11.2025 Genk - KV Mechelen 0:1
    01.11.2025 Anderlecht - KV Mechelen 3:1
    28.10.2025 KV Mechelen - Lierse 2:1
    Latest results of Standard Liège
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG11001:0136
    2Club Brugge KV11004:2235
    3St. Truiden10010:1-129
    4Gent10101:1024
    5KV Mechelen10101:1024
    6Anderlecht10012:4-222

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )