KV Mechelen vs Standard Liège – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen).

Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 8
Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)
Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Netherlands	Sporza

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.15	0.39
Ball Possession
74%	26%
Total shots
20	5
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
13	1
Passes
89% (620/697)	74% (185/251)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15	0.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.29	0.82
Total shots
20	5
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
9	1
Blocked Shots
9	2
Shots inside the Box
13	2
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
13	1
Touches in opposition box
40	18
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
12	6
Passes
89% (620/697)	74% (185/251)
Long passes
61% (36/59)	48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
80% (187/235)	62% (46/74)
Crosses
19% (7/37)	14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.23	0.53
Throw-ins
16	12
Fouls
6	12
Tackles
78% (14/18)	65% (13/20)
Duels won
44	41
Clearances
10	48
Interceptions
3	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.82	0.29
Goals prevented
0.82	0.29

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Hammar F. 🟨,
32', Alexandropoulos S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lauberbach L. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
46', Pflucke P. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
68', Alexandropoulos S. 🟨,
72', Bulat M. ↓, Kuavita L. ↑,
72', Hountondji A. ↓, Amani L. ↑,
76', Mrabti K. ↓, Hairemans G. ↑,
76', Storm N. ↓, Dahl P. ↑,
76', Konate M. ↓, Zekri M. ↑,
78', Ngoy N. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
83', Welsh S. 🟨,
87', Lawrence H. 🟨,
88', Eckert Ayensa D. ↓, Mitongo Muteba R. ↑,

Chances of winning

KV Mechelen
60.4%

Draw
21.9%

Standard Liège
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

25.4%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

23.2%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KV Mechelen's performance.

Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Standard Liège might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KV Mechelen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Standard Liège could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

KV Mechelen - Standard Liège Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)	4.33 ↑ (3.71)	5.41 ↑ (4.12)	4.8% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Standard Liège?

Users Predictions: KV Mechelen will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KV Mechelen will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 1.
In recent matches, Mechelen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Standard is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Mechelen is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Mechelen: Foulon D. (Calf Injury) Ngoy J. (Injury) Touba A. (Thigh Injury) Vanheusden Z. (Hernia)
There will not play in Standard: Sutalo B. (Knock)
There are questionable in Standard: Zeqiri A. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:30. (average 1.6:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Standard Liège?

KV Mechelen has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Standard Liège won against KV Mechelen?

Standard Liège has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Standard Liège were as follows:

29.03.2025 Standard Liège - KV Mechelen 2:2

26.12.2024 KV Mechelen - Standard Liège 0:0

09.08.2024 Standard Liège - KV Mechelen 0:0

25.05.2024 KV Mechelen - Standard Liège 3:2

23.04.2024 Standard Liège - KV Mechelen 0:0

Latest results of KV Mechelen

03.05.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen 1:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Westerlo - KV Mechelen 2:2 ✺

22.04.2025 KV Mechelen - Westerlo 2:3 ✺

19.04.2025 Charleroi - KV Mechelen 3:0 ✺

13.04.2025 KV Mechelen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Standard Liège

04.05.2025 Standard Liège - Charleroi 0:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège 1:1 ✺

22.04.2025 Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Standard Liège - Westerlo 1:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Dender EH - Standard Liège 1:1 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Royale Union SG	6	4	2	0	14:3	11	14
2	St. Truiden	6	4	2	0	11:4	7	14
3	KV Mechelen	6	3	2	1	9:7	2	11
4	Club Brugge KV	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10
5	Anderlecht	5	3	0	2	11:7	4	9
6	Antwerp	6	2	3	1	8:7	1	9
7	Cercle Brugge KSV	6	2	2	2	8:6	2	8
8	Genk	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7
9	St. Liege	6	2	1	3	5:9	-4	7
10	Leuven	6	2	1	3	6:12	-6	7
11	Westerlo	5	2	0	3	8:11	-3	6
12	Charleroi	5	1	3	1	7:6	1	6
13	Gent	5	1	2	2	6:8	-2	5
14	RAAL La Louviere	6	1	1	4	4:8	-4	4
15	Waregem	6	1	1	4	7:12	-5	4
16	Dender	6	0	2	4	2:9	-7	2

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