Result
0:0
10/05/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 8
- Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 |
Netherlands | Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.15 | 0.39 |
Ball Possession |
---|
74% | 26% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
13 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
89% (620/697) | 74% (185/251) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.15 | 0.39 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.29 | 0.82 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
9 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
13 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
40 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
89% (620/697) | 74% (185/251) |
Long passes |
---|
61% (36/59) | 48% (27/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
80% (187/235) | 62% (46/74) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (7/37) | 14% (1/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.23 | 0.53 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
78% (14/18) | 65% (13/20) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
10 | 48 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.82 | 0.29 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.82 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Hammar F. 🟨,
- 32', Alexandropoulos S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lauberbach L. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
- 46', Pflucke P. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 68', Alexandropoulos S. 🟨,
- 72', Bulat M. ↓, Kuavita L. ↑,
- 72', Hountondji A. ↓, Amani L. ↑,
- 76', Mrabti K. ↓, Hairemans G. ↑,
- 76', Storm N. ↓, Dahl P. ↑,
- 76', Konate M. ↓, Zekri M. ↑,
- 78', Ngoy N. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
- 83', Welsh S. 🟨,
- 87', Lawrence H. 🟨,
- 88', Eckert Ayensa D. ↓, Mitongo Muteba R. ↑,
Chances of winning
KV Mechelen 60.4% | Draw 21.9% | Standard Liège 17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KV Mechelen's performance.Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Standard Liège might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-13.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KV Mechelen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Standard Liège could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
KV Mechelen - Standard Liège Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.58 ↓ (1.83) |
4.33 ↑ (3.71) |
5.41 ↑ (4.12) |
4.8% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Standard Liège?
Users Predictions:
KV Mechelen will win
(21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KV Mechelen will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 1.
- In recent matches, Mechelen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Standard is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Mechelen is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Mechelen: Foulon D.
(Calf Injury)
Ngoy J.
(Injury)
Touba A.
(Thigh Injury)
Vanheusden Z.
(Hernia)
- There will not play in Standard: Sutalo B.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Standard: Zeqiri A.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:30. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Standard Liège?
KV Mechelen has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Standard Liège won against KV Mechelen?
Standard Liège has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Standard Liège were as follows:
29.03.2025
Standard Liège
-
KV Mechelen
2:2
26.12.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Standard Liège
0:0
09.08.2024
Standard Liège
-
KV Mechelen
0:0
25.05.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Standard Liège
3:2
23.04.2024
Standard Liège
-
KV Mechelen
0:0
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Latest results of Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Antwerp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Club Brugge KV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Dender | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | KV Mechelen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | St. Liege | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | St. Truiden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Waregem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Westerlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Royale Union SG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | RAAL La Louviere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )