KV Mechelen vs Standard Liège – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Jupiler Pro League KV Mechelen - Standard Liège
Result
0:0
10/05/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 8
  • Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsSporza

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.39
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
205
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
131
Passes
89% (620/697)74% (185/251)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.290.82
Total shots
205
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
92
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
131
Touches in opposition box
4018
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
126
Passes
89% (620/697)74% (185/251)
Long passes
61% (36/59)48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
80% (187/235)62% (46/74)
Crosses
19% (7/37)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.230.53
Throw-ins
1612
Fouls
612
Tackles
78% (14/18)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4441
Clearances
1048
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.820.29
Goals prevented
0.820.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Hammar F. 🟨,
  • 32', Alexandropoulos S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lauberbach L. , Raman B. ,
  • 46', Pflucke P. , Antonio B. ,
  • 68', Alexandropoulos S. 🟨,
  • 72', Bulat M. , Kuavita L. ,
  • 72', Hountondji A. , Amani L. ,
  • 76', Mrabti K. , Hairemans G. ,
  • 76', Storm N. , Dahl P. ,
  • 76', Konate M. , Zekri M. ,
  • 78', Ngoy N. , Camara I. ,
  • 83', Welsh S. 🟨,
  • 87', Lawrence H. 🟨,
  • 88', Eckert Ayensa D. , Mitongo Muteba R. ,

Chances of winning


KV Mechelen
60.4%
Draw
21.9%
Standard Liège
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 25.4% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 23.2% 25.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KV Mechelen's performance.
  • Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Standard Liège might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KV Mechelen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Standard Liège could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • KV Mechelen - Standard Liège Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.83)
    4.33
    (3.71)
    5.41
    (4.12)
    4.8%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Standard Liège?
  • Users Predictions: KV Mechelen will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.74%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KV Mechelen will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 1.
    • In recent matches, Mechelen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Standard is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Mechelen is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Mechelen: Foulon D. (Calf Injury) Ngoy J. (Injury) Touba A. (Thigh Injury) Vanheusden Z. (Hernia)
    • There will not play in Standard: Sutalo B. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Standard: Zeqiri A. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:30. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Standard Liège were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Standard Liège - KV Mechelen 2:2
    26.12.2024 KV Mechelen - Standard Liège 0:0
    09.08.2024 Standard Liège - KV Mechelen 0:0
    25.05.2024 KV Mechelen - Standard Liège 3:2
    23.04.2024 Standard Liège - KV Mechelen 0:0
    Latest results of KV Mechelen
    Latest results of Standard Liège
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Antwerp00000:000
    2Leuven00000:000
    3Anderlecht00000:000
    4Cercle Brugge KSV00000:000
    5Charleroi00000:000
    6Club Brugge KV00000:000
    7Dender00000:000
    8Genk00000:000
    9Gent00000:000
    10KV Mechelen00000:000
    11St. Liege00000:000
    12St. Truiden00000:000
    13Waregem00000:000
    14Westerlo00000:000
    15Royale Union SG00000:000
    16RAAL La Louviere00000:000

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