Result
1:1
25/01/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 22
- Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 1.17 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (438/513) | 74% (234/315) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (438/513) | 74% (234/315) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (22/40) | 50% (25/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (114/154) | 70% (69/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (6/39) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Nacho ⚽, Saito S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Koudou T. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 46', Konate M. ↓, Mrabti K. ↑,
- 56', Antonio B. 🟨,
- 58', Saito S. ↓, Alcocer J. ↑,
- 62', Reynolds B. 🟨,
- 65', Kireev M. ↓, Kiki ↑,
- 66', St. Jago T. 🟨,
- 78', Sayyadmanesh A. ↓, Van den Keybus T. ↑,
- 78', Nacho ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
- 87', Marsa J. ↓, Bande H. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Mrabti K. ⚽, Servais M. (A),
- 90', Sakamoto I. ↓, Bohamdi-Kamoni N. ↑,
- 90', Piedfort A. ↓, Sydorchuk S. ↑,
Chances of winning
KV Mechelen
34.5% | Draw
27.3% | Westerlo
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
KV Mechelen - Westerlo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.62) |
3.44 ↓
(3.79) |
2.49 ↑
(2.42) |
5.6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Westerlo?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Westerlo will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 21.7% – 78.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Mechelen (1.99) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Mechelen (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O.
(Knee Injury)
Mrabti K.
(Inactive)
Raman B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Salifou D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Westerlo: Haidara B.
(Inactive)
Kimura S.
(Groin Injury)
Laalaoui R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 47:32. (average 2.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 2.4:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Westerlo?
KV Mechelen has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against KV Mechelen?
Westerlo has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Westerlo were as follows:
09.08.2025
Westerlo
-
KV Mechelen
0:1
26.04.2025
Westerlo
-
KV Mechelen
2:2
22.04.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Westerlo
2:3
20.12.2024
Westerlo
-
KV Mechelen
1:1
03.08.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Westerlo
2:4
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Latest results of Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 36 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 35 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 29 |
| 4 | Gent | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
