Result
0:1
09/08/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 3
- Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 |
 Netherlands | Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (309/375) | 86% (361/420) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (309/375) | 86% (361/420) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 60% (31/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (99/138) | 70% (57/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Halhal R. 🟨,
- 25', Nacho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Yow G. ↓, Mebude A. ↑,
- 46', Neustadter R. ↓, Lapage A. ↑,
- 60', Zekri M. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 60', Mrabti K. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
- 60', Belghali R. ↓, St. Jago T. ↑,
- 70', Pflucke P. ↓, Struyf I. ↑,
- 72', Nacho ↓, Frigan M. ↑,
- 73', Alcocer J. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
- 80', Lauberbach L. ↓, Ozdemir H. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 1, Raman B. ⚽, Bafdili B. (A),
- 87', Van den Keybus T. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Westerlo
42.6% | Draw
25.2% | KV Mechelen
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Westerlo - KV Mechelen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.14) |
3.76 ↓
(3.82) |
2.94 ↓
(3.14) |
5.1%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Westerlo - KV Mechelen?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Westerlo will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Westerlo: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Westerlo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Westerlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Westerlo has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Mechelen: Kiki
(Surgery)
St. Jago T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Westerlo: Goure F.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 34:48. (average 1.7:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Westerlo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 1.2:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against KV Mechelen?
Westerlo has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Westerlo?
KV Mechelen has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Westerlo - KV Mechelen were as follows:
26.04.2025
Westerlo
-
KV Mechelen
2:2
22.04.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Westerlo
2:3
20.12.2024
Westerlo
-
KV Mechelen
1:1
03.08.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Westerlo
2:4
18.05.2024
Westerlo
-
KV Mechelen
0:2
Latest results of Westerlo
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 20 |
| 2 | St. Truiden | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Charleroi | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Gent | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Waregem | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | RAAL La Louviere | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Westerlo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 14 | Genk | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Leuven | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Dender | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:13 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
