Westerlo vs KV Mechelen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Jupiler Pro League Westerlo - KV Mechelen
Result
0:1
09/08/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Round 3
  • Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumDAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsSporza

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.58
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
82% (309/375)86% (361/420)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.191.06
Total shots
186
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
70
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
3521
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
68
Passes
82% (309/375)86% (361/420)
Long passes
46% (22/48)60% (31/52)
Passes in final third
72% (99/138)70% (57/82)
Crosses
33% (6/18)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.40
Throw-ins
2722
Fouls
97
Tackles
76% (16/21)78% (14/18)
Duels won
5352
Clearances
3536
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.060.19
Goals prevented
0.060.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Halhal R. 🟨,
  • 25', Nacho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Yow G. , Mebude A. ,
  • 46', Neustadter R. , Lapage A. ,
  • 60', Zekri M. , Antonio B. ,
  • 60', Mrabti K. , Raman B. ,
  • 60', Belghali R. , St. Jago T. ,
  • 70', Pflucke P. , Struyf I. ,
  • 72', Nacho , Frigan M. ,
  • 73', Alcocer J. , Cordero A. ,
  • 80', Lauberbach L. , Ozdemir H. ,
  • 84', 0 - 1, Raman B. , Bafdili B. (A),
  • 87', Van den Keybus T. , Vaesen K. ,

Chances of winning


Westerlo
42.6%
Draw
25.2%
KV Mechelen
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 25% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 25.4% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Westerlo - KV Mechelen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.14)
    3.76
    (3.82)
    2.94
    (3.14)
    5.1%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Westerlo - KV Mechelen?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Westerlo will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Westerlo: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Westerlo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Westerlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Westerlo has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Mechelen: Kiki (Surgery) St. Jago T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Westerlo: Goure F. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 34:48. (average 1.7:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Westerlo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 1.2:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Westerlo - KV Mechelen were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Westerlo - KV Mechelen 2:2
    22.04.2025 KV Mechelen - Westerlo 2:3
    20.12.2024 Westerlo - KV Mechelen 1:1
    03.08.2024 KV Mechelen - Westerlo 2:4
    18.05.2024 Westerlo - KV Mechelen 0:2
    Latest results of Westerlo
    02.08.2025 Westerlo - Zulte Waregem 3:1
    27.07.2025 Anderlecht - Westerlo 5:2
    19.07.2025 Westerlo - Samsunspor 3:1
    16.07.2025 Westerlo - Panathinaikos 1:3
    Latest results of KV Mechelen
    01.08.2025 KV Mechelen - Club Brugge 2:1
    19.07.2025 Ajax - KV Mechelen 3:2
    16.07.2025 Heist - KV Mechelen 2:2
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG642014:31114
    2St. Truiden642011:4714
    3KV Mechelen63219:7211
    4Club Brugge KV53117:4310
    5Anderlecht530211:749
    6Antwerp62318:719
    7Cercle Brugge KSV62228:628
    8Genk52128:807
    9St. Liege62135:9-47
    10Leuven62136:12-67
    11Westerlo52038:11-36
    12Charleroi51317:616
    13Gent51226:8-25
    14RAAL La Louviere61144:8-44
    15Waregem61147:12-54
    16Dender60242:9-72

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