Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 27
- Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.88 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (240/327) | 83% (404/486) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 2.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (240/327) | 83% (404/486) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (31/67) | 48% (24/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (53/93) | 70% (118/168) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 2.01 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 39% (13/33) | 89% (16/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.57 | 2.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Halhal R. ⚽, St. Jago T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', Nyssen B. 🟨,
- 64', Vanrafelghem K. ↓, Marsa J. ↑,
- 64', Koudou T. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 67', Nyssen B. ↓, Ake M. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Erenbjerg J. ⚽, Opoku J. (A),
- 77', Boersma B. 🟨,
- 85', van Brederode M. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
- 85', Servais M. ↓, Salifou D. ↑,
- 88', Erenbjerg J. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Raman B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
KV Mechelen
40.3% | Draw
27% | Zulte Waregem
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KV Mechelen's form might have worsened.Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zulte Waregem's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KV Mechelen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zulte Waregem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
KV Mechelen - Zulte Waregem Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(2.04) |
3.5 ↓
(3.66) |
2.91 ↓
(3.51) |
5.6%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Zulte Waregem?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Mechelen (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
KV Mechelen will win
(21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KV Mechelen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 2.
- Mechelen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Waregem is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mechelen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Mechelen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O.
(Knee Injury)
Diouf G.
(Inactive)
Golic L.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Waregem: Lemoine L.
(Surgery)
Mituljikic N.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Waregem: Panduro T.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Zulte Waregem?
KV Mechelen has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zulte Waregem won against KV Mechelen?
Zulte Waregem has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Zulte Waregem were as follows:
26.07.2025
Zulte Waregem
-
KV Mechelen
1:1
28.02.2023
KV Mechelen
-
Zulte Waregem
1:0
02.02.2023
Zulte Waregem
-
KV Mechelen
1:2
08.01.2023
Zulte Waregem
-
KV Mechelen
2:0
05.11.2022
KV Mechelen
-
Zulte Waregem
2:2
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Latest results of Zulte Waregem
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 36 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 35 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 29 |
| 4 | Gent | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
