Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

MMA Lightweight UFC Men Kyle Nelson - Matt Frevola
Result
Nelson K. win
18/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 1

Chances of winning


Kyle Nelson
50.9%
Matt Frevola
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 55.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kyle Nelson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kyle Nelson's performance.
  • Matt Frevola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matt Frevola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Kyle Nelson - Matt Frevola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.13)

    1.99
    (1.74)
    3.4%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, both fighters have almost equal chances to win.
    • In recent times, the fighters did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Kyle Nelson
    07.09.2024 Steve Garcia - Kyle Nelson Garcia S. - 1st Round TKO
    30.03.2024 Bill Algeo - Kyle Nelson Nelson K. - 1st Round TKO
    16.09.2023 Fernando Padilla - Kyle Nelson Nelson K. win
    10.06.2023 Kyle Nelson - Blake Bilder points/3:points/3
    Latest results of Matt Frevola
    28.09.2024 Fares Ziam - Matt Frevola Ziam F. - 2nd Round KO
    11.11.2023 Matt Frevola - Benoit Saint-Denis Saint-Denis B. - 1st Round KO