Ordabasy vs Kyzylzhar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kazakh Cup Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar
28/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Ordabasy
51.6%
Draw
27.8%
Kyzylzhar
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 28.1% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 24% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Kyzylzhar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ordabasy that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.78)
    3.29
    (3.25)
    4.46
    (4.44)
    9.1%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 1.
    • Ordabasy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kyzylzhar's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Ordabasy is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ordabasy won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy 0:0
    25.06.2025 Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy 0:0
    30.03.2025 Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar 0:0
    03.10.2024 Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy 0:1
    20.04.2024 Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar 1:1
    Latest results of Ordabasy
    17.08.2025 Ordabasy - Tobol Kostanay 2:3
    10.08.2025 Kaisar - Ordabasy 1:1
    03.08.2025 Ordabasy - Atyrau 2:2
    27.07.2025 Turan Turkistan - Ordabasy 0:4
    20.07.2025 Zhetysu - Ordabasy 1:0
    Latest results of Kyzylzhar
    23.08.2025 Yelimay Semey - Kyzylzhar 2:0
    16.08.2025 Kyzylzhar - Zhenis 1:1
    09.08.2025 Ulytau - Kyzylzhar 1:1
    02.08.2025 Kyzylzhar - Tobol Kostanay 0:2
    26.07.2025 Kaisar - Kyzylzhar 1:0
    Draw
    Main

    1/8-finals
    1KyzylzharKaisar Kyzylorda1 : 0
    2UlytauYelimay Semey0 : 3
    3OrdabasyKhan Tengri2 : 0
    4Kairat AlmatyKaspij Aktau3 : 0
    5TuranAtyrau2 : 0
    6TobolZhetysu Taldykorgan1 : 0
    7ZhenisAktobe1 : 0
    8OkzhetpesFC Astana1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1KyzylzharYelimay Semey1 : 0
    2OrdabasyKairat Almaty1 : 0
    3TuranTobol0 : 2
    4ZhenisFC Astana2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1KyzylzharOrdabasy0 : 0
    2TobolZhenis2 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2