Peña Balsamaiso vs La Calzada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
15/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Peña Balsamaiso
12.3%
Draw
21%
La Calzada
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.3% 24% 57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8% 22.2% 53.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peña Balsamaiso's form might have worsened.
  • La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Calzada's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peña Balsamaiso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Calzada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Peña Balsamaiso - La Calzada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.36
    (4.98)
    4.32
    (3.79)
    1.36
    (1.58)
    10.2%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • Peña Balsamaiso has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • La Calzada's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, La Calzada is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peña Balsamaiso won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peña Balsamaiso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peña Balsamaiso - La Calzada were as follows:
    05.10.2025 La Calzada - Peña Balsamaiso 2:2
    07.04.2024 Peña Balsamaiso - La Calzada 3:2
    19.11.2023 La Calzada - Peña Balsamaiso 4:0
    19.03.2023 Peña Balsamaiso - La Calzada 1:0
    20.11.2022 La Calzada - Peña Balsamaiso 2:0
    Latest results of Peña Balsamaiso
    Latest results of La Calzada
    08.02.2026 La Calzada - Autol 1:0
    01.02.2026 Berceo - La Calzada 1:1
    18.01.2026 Oyonesa - La Calzada 1:1
    10.01.2026 Pradejón - La Calzada 2:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Logrones B30228081:216074
    2Varea30215449:232668
    3Arnedo30188466:234362
    4Calahorra301510571:215055
    5Oyonesa30156946:38851
    6Anguiano30148842:34850
    7Haro Deportivo301461053:44948
    8Agoncillo301371053:401346
    9Vianes301081236:41-538
    10Yague309111043:42138
    11Berceo30991238:43-536
    12San Marcial30971433:52-1934
    13CDFC Calzada30961536:52-1633
    14Comillas30941726:51-2531
    15Pradejon30781526:45-1929
    16Villegas30751832:60-2826
    17Autol30352218:70-5214
    18Pena Balsamaiso300111922:71-4911

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