San Marcial vs La Calzada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
08/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 25

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Casado M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 60', 1 - 1, Reinaldo A. ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Viti ,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Padilla C. ,
  • 90', Oscar 🟥,

Chances of winning


San Marcial
35.2%
Draw
29%
La Calzada
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 29% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 29.5% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marcial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • San Marcial - La Calzada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.52)
    3.12
    (3.13)
    2.53
    (2.6)
    10.5%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 13)
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • San Marcial may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Marcial won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcial - La Calzada were as follows:
    25.10.2025 La Calzada - San Marcial 0:1
    Latest results of San Marcial
    01.03.2026 Varea - San Marcial 1:0
    15.02.2026 Autol - San Marcial 0:4
    08.02.2026 San Marcial - Berceo 1:1
    Latest results of La Calzada
    01.03.2026 La Calzada - Yagüe 0:0
    22.02.2026 La Calzada - Varea 1:2
    08.02.2026 La Calzada - Autol 1:0
    01.02.2026 Berceo - La Calzada 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Logrones B30228081:216074
    2Varea30215449:232668
    3Arnedo30188466:234362
    4Calahorra301510571:215055
    5Oyonesa30156946:38851
    6Anguiano30148842:34850
    7Haro Deportivo301461053:44948
    8Agoncillo301371053:401346
    9Vianes301081236:41-538
    10Yague309111043:42138
    11Berceo30991238:43-536
    12San Marcial30971433:52-1934
    13CDFC Calzada30961536:52-1633
    14Comillas30941726:51-2531
    15Pradejon30781526:45-1929
    16Villegas30751832:60-2826
    17Autol30352218:70-5214
    18Pena Balsamaiso300111922:71-4911

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