San Marcial vs La Calzada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
08/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 25

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Casado M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 60', 1 - 1, Reinaldo A. ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Viti ,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Padilla C. ,
  • 90', Oscar 🟥,

Chances of winning


San Marcial
35.2%
Draw
29%
La Calzada
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 29% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 29.5% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marcial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • San Marcial - La Calzada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.52)
    3.12
    (3.13)
    2.53
    (2.6)
    10.5%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 13)
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • San Marcial may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Marcial won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcial - La Calzada were as follows:
    25.10.2025 La Calzada - San Marcial 0:1
    Latest results of San Marcial
    01.03.2026 Varea - San Marcial 1:0
    15.02.2026 Autol - San Marcial 0:4
    08.02.2026 San Marcial - Berceo 1:1
    Latest results of La Calzada
    01.03.2026 La Calzada - Yagüe 0:0
    22.02.2026 La Calzada - Varea 1:2
    08.02.2026 La Calzada - Autol 1:0
    01.02.2026 Berceo - La Calzada 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Logrones B27198068:194965
    2Varea27194444:212361
    3Arnedo27158458:233553
    4Oyonesa27154842:321049
    5Anguiano27147639:251449
    6Calahorra27139563:194448
    7Agoncillo27117946:361040
    8Haro Deportivo271161042:40239
    9Yague27910841:36537
    10Vianes27971133:36-334
    11Comillas27941426:46-2031
    12San Marcial27861329:46-1730
    13Berceo27791130:38-830
    14Pradejon27771322:34-1228
    15CDFC Calzada27761431:47-1627
    16Villegas27741629:55-2625
    17Autol27342017:64-4713
    18Pena Balsamaiso270101718:61-4310

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