Result
2:2
08/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Casado M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 60', 1 - 1, Reinaldo A. ⚽,
- 61', 2 - 1, Viti ⚽,
- 78', 2 - 2, Padilla C. ⚽,
- 90', Oscar 🟥,
Chances of winning
San Marcial 35.2% | Draw 29% | La Calzada 35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
San Marcial - La Calzada Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.57 ↑ (2.52) |
3.12 ↓ (3.13) |
2.53 ↓ (2.6) |
10.5% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 13)
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- San Marcial may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Marcial won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has San Marcial won against La Calzada?
San Marcial has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has La Calzada won against San Marcial?
La Calzada has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcial - La Calzada were as follows:
25.10.2025
La Calzada
-
San Marcial
0:1
Latest results of San Marcial
Latest results of La Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 33 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 94:22 | 72 | 83 |
| 2 | Varea | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 73 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 71:26 | 45 | 69 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 82:22 | 60 | 62 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53:41 | 12 | 58 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 47:36 | 11 | 57 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 54:45 | 9 | 51 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 58:47 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Vianes | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:50 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | San Marcial | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 39:57 | -18 | 39 |
| 11 | Berceo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Yague | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 44:48 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | CDFC Calzada | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 37:54 | -17 | 35 |
| 14 | Pradejon | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 29:46 | -17 | 35 |
| 15 | Comillas | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 31:58 | -27 | 35 |
| 16 | Villegas | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 36:65 | -29 | 28 |
| 17 | Autol | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 18:79 | -61 | 15 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 33 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 27:81 | -54 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation