La Luz vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Segunda Division La Luz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Result
2:2
06/07/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda Division - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Sequeira H. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Ribas S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Dogliotti L. ,
  • 50', 2 - 2, Ribas S. ,
  • 69', Fernandez L. 🟥,

Chances of winning


La Luz
25.6%
Draw
30.4%
Atletico Fenix Montevideo
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 30.4% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 31.2% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • La Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Luz's form might have worsened.
  • Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atletico Fenix Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Luz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atletico Fenix Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • La Luz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.59
    (2.5)
    3.03
    (3)
    2.09
    (2.75)
    8.6%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for La Luz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fenix will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 5).
    • La Luz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Fenix is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Fenix may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, La Luz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, La Luz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between La Luz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo were as follows:
    20.04.2025 La Luz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo 0:2
    07.12.2023 La Luz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo 0:2
    14.05.2023 Atletico Fenix Montevideo - La Luz 0:2
    31.08.2022 La Luz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo 2:1
    Latest results of La Luz
    15.06.2025 Central Español - La Luz 0:0
    07.06.2025 La Luz - Tacuarembó 1:2
    04.06.2025 Rentistas - La Luz 3:2
    01.06.2025 La Luz - Artigas 1:1
    Uruguayan Segunda Division Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Albion1181216:61025
    2Tacuarembo1163212:7521
    3Central Esp1146113:6718
    4Oriental1153312:11118
    5Colon1152413:8517
    6Fenix1145214:11317
    7Rentistas1145214:11317
    8Maldonado1136211:7415
    9Atenas1134410:10013
    10Artigas111647:11-49
    11Cerrito112368:18-109
    12Uruguay Montevideo112368:19-119
    13Rampla Juniors1122710:14-48
    14La Luz1115510:19-98