Deportivo Maldonado vs La Luz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
26/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda Division - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 42', 1 - 0, Toloza N. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Maldonado
44.2%
Draw
29.8%
La Luz
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 28.4% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 27.1% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Deportivo Maldonado - La Luz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.98)
    3.07
    (3.27)
    3.53
    (3.76)
    9.3%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 11).
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Maldonado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Maldonado could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 2.3:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maldonado won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Maldonado - La Luz were as follows:
    02.08.2025 La Luz - Deportivo Maldonado 1:2
    26.04.2025 Deportivo Maldonado - La Luz 4:4
    19.11.2023 Deportivo Maldonado - La Luz 1:0
    17.04.2023 La Luz - Deportivo Maldonado 4:2
    Latest results of Deportivo Maldonado
    Latest results of La Luz
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AtenasTacuarembo2 : 2, 1 : 1
    2ColonMaldonado0 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1AtenasMaldonado0 : 1, 0 : 0