La Luz vs Deportivo Maldonado – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Segunda Division La Luz - Deportivo Maldonado
02/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda Division - Round 13

Chances of winning


La Luz
29.7%
Draw
29.4%
Deportivo Maldonado
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 28.4% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5% 27.8% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • La Luz - Deportivo Maldonado Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (3.28)
    3.08
    (3.25)
    2.22
    (2.12)
    10.1%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for La Luz - Deportivo Maldonado?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maldonado will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. La Luz (votes: 1 - 50%). Maldonado (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 8).
    • La Luz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Maldonado is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, La Luz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2.7:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, La Luz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between La Luz - Deportivo Maldonado were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Deportivo Maldonado - La Luz 4:4
    19.11.2023 Deportivo Maldonado - La Luz 1:0
    17.04.2023 La Luz - Deportivo Maldonado 4:2
    Latest results of La Luz
    Latest results of Deportivo Maldonado
    Uruguayan Segunda Division Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Albion1291217:61128
    2Rentistas1365219:12723
    3Colon1363416:10621
    4Tacuarembo1263312:8421
    5Fenix1255216:11520
    6Oriental1354414:15-119
    7Central Esp1246213:8518
    8Maldonado1246212:7518
    9Atenas1244412:11116
    10Artigas121748:12-410
    11La Luz1216512:21-99
    12Cerrito132389:21-129
    13Uruguay Montevideo122379:22-139
    14Rampla Juniors1222811:16-58