Montevideo Wanderers vs La Luz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Montevideo Wanderers - La Luz
Result
0:1
19/08/2023 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • URUGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 1
  • Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)

Chances of winning


Montevideo Wanderers
40.1%
Draw
28.6%
La Luz
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 25.8% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 24.7% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montevideo Wanderers's form might have worsened.
  • La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Luz's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montevideo Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Luz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Montevideo Wanderers - La Luz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (1.87)
    3.23
    (3.54)
    2.97
    (3.6)
    8.1%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Montevideo Wanderers - La Luz?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 3 - 75%). La Luz will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wanderers is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • La Luz has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Wanderers will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Wanderers to win the game is with odds 2.14.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo Wanderers - La Luz were as follows:
    07.07.2023 La Luz - Montevideo Wanderers 2:3
    05.02.2023 La Luz - Montevideo Wanderers 1:3
    Latest results of La Luz
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Largo11002:023
    2Penarol11002:113
    3CA Cerro10100:001
    4River Plate10100:001
    5Nacional00000:000
    6Liverpool M00000:000
    7Danubio00000:000
    8Wanderers00000:000
    9Miramar00000:000
    10Defensor Sp00000:000
    11Racing Montevideo00000:000
    12Plaza Colonia00000:000
    13Boston River00000:000
    14Montevideo City00000:000
    15Progreso10011:2-10
    16Juventud10010:2-20

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