La Nucía vs Castellonense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6 La Nucía - Castellonense
Result
1:2
25/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Fernandez D. ,
  • 13', 1 - 1, Murillo A. ,
  • 23', 1 - 2, Martinez Oca A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


La Nucía
39.4%
Draw
34.3%
Castellonense
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 25% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 26.8% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Nucía's form might have worsened.
  • Castellonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+18.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Nucía, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellonense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • La Nucía - Castellonense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (1.7)
    2.7
    (3.65)
    3.54
    (4.3)
    7.7%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Castellonense has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, La Nucía is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, La Nucía won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, La Nucía won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between La Nucía - Castellonense were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Castellonense - La Nucía 0:0
    06.04.2025 Castellonense - La Nucía 0:2
    24.11.2024 La Nucía - Castellonense 1:1
    Latest results of La Nucía
    17.05.2025 Castellonense - La Nucía 0:0
    11.05.2025 La Nucía - Benidorm 0:2
    04.05.2025 Roda - La Nucía 0:0
    27.04.2025 La Nucía - Villarreal C 0:0
    18.04.2025 Atzeneta - La Nucía 0:1
    Latest results of Castellonense
    17.05.2025 Castellonense - La Nucía 0:0
    11.05.2025 Castellonense - Atzeneta 0:1
    26.04.2025 Castellonense - Utiel 1:0
    13.04.2025 Patacona - Castellonense 0:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2