Result
53:33
30/11/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport |
 France | CANAL+ France |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (20 - 14)
- 1', Hastoy A. 🟥,
- 2', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 5', Brau-Boirie F. (Try),
- 11', Seuteni U. (Try),
- 11', Kaulashvili L. 🟨,
- 11', West I. (Conversion Goal),
- 14', Arfeuil G. (Try),
- 15', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Favre J. (Try),
- 19', West I. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Montoya J. (Try),
- 2nd Half (33 - 19)
- 42', Grandidier A. (Try),
- 49', Laclayat T. (Try),
- 49', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Kuntelia A. (Try),
- 52', West I. (Conversion Goal),
- 58', Leyds D. (Try),
- 63', Kante-Samba C. 🟨,
- 66', Gorgadze B. (Try),
- 66', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 70', Brau-Boirie F. (Try),
- 70', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Favre J. (Try),
- 74', West I. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Lavault T. 🟨,
- 80+3', Delhommel Y. (Try),
- 80+4', (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Section Paloise
69.8% | Draw
4.1% | La Rochelle
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Section Paloise - La Rochelle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.45) |
22.99 ↑
(18.96) |
3.62 ↑
(3.1) |
6.7%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
What is the prediction for Section Paloise - La Rochelle?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Section Paloise will win (votes: 3 - 60%). La Rochelle will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Section Paloise (votes: 1 - 50%). La Rochelle (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 32:22.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 1.
- Section Paloise is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- La Rochelle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Section Paloise is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Section Paloise will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 395:655. (average 19.8:32.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Section Paloise won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 206:261. (average 20.6:26.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Section Paloise won against La Rochelle?
Section Paloise has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has La Rochelle won against Section Paloise?
La Rochelle has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Section Paloise - La Rochelle were as follows:
07.06.2025
Section Paloise
-
La Rochelle
32:18
21.09.2024
La Rochelle
-
Section Paloise
49:25
18.05.2024
La Rochelle
-
Section Paloise
25:16
06.01.2024
Section Paloise
-
La Rochelle
20:29
04.03.2023
Section Paloise
-
La Rochelle
32:36
Latest results of Section Paloise
Latest results of La Rochelle
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 431:248 | 39 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 336:277 | 37 |
| 3 | RC Toulonnais | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 358:302 | 34 |
| 4 | Stade Francais Paris | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 335:272 | 31 |
| 5 | Aviron Bayonnais | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 322:327 | 30 |
| 6 | Bordeaux Begles | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 331:302 | 29 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 278:215 | 28 |
| 8 | Castres Olympique | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 250:292 | 28 |
| 9 | Clermont | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 381:319 | 27 |
| 10 | Stade Rochelais | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 307:265 | 26 |
| 11 | Racing 92 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 283:318 | 26 |
| 12 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 294:324 | 23 |
| 13 | Montauban | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 237:509 | 7 |
| 14 | USA Perpignan | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 149:322 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
