Result
32:18
07/06/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 6 |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (8 - 10)
- 6', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
- 16', Manu T. (Try),
- 26', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 40', Wardi R. (Try),
- 40+1', Hastoy A. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (24 - 8)
- 49', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 62', Bosmorin H. (Try),
- 69', Daubagna T. (Try),
- 69', Simmonds J. (Conversion Goal),
- 72', Paiva T. 🟨,
- 74', Auradou H. (Try),
- 75', Simmonds J. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
- 80+5', (Penalty Try),
Chances of winning
Section Paloise
52.5% | Draw
4.2% | La Rochelle
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)La Rochelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Section Paloise than the current prediction. (+0.1%)The ML Model estimate for La Rochelle aligns with the current prediction.
Section Paloise - La Rochelle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(1.83) |
22.5 ↑
(21) |
2.12 ↑
(2.05) |
7.9%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 52.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
What is the prediction for Section Paloise - La Rochelle?
Users Predictions:
Section Paloise will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Section Paloise will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:25.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 1.
- In recent matches, Section Paloise has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- La Rochelle is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- We predict that Section Paloise will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 386:665. (average 19.3:33.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Section Paloise won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 174:243. (average 19.3:27).
How many head-to-head matches has Section Paloise won against La Rochelle?
Section Paloise has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has La Rochelle won against Section Paloise?
La Rochelle has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Section Paloise - La Rochelle were as follows:
21.09.2024
La Rochelle
-
Section Paloise
49:25
18.05.2024
La Rochelle
-
Section Paloise
25:16
06.01.2024
Section Paloise
-
La Rochelle
20:29
04.03.2023
Section Paloise
-
La Rochelle
32:36
29.10.2022
La Rochelle
-
Section Paloise
21:38
Latest results of Section Paloise
Latest results of La Rochelle
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Aviron Bayonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Castres Olympique | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montauban | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | USA Perpignan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | RC Toulonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Stade Toulousain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Racing 92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Stade Rochelais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bordeaux Begles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Section Paloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
