Result
20:6
21/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | CANAL+ France |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (10 - 3)
- 7', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
- 25', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 37', Lespiaucq-Brettes Q. (Try),
- 37', Hastoy A. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (10 - 3)
- 65', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 68', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
- 69', Nowell J. (Try),
- 69', Hastoy A. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
La Rochelle
64% | Draw
3.8% | Section Paloise
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Rochelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Rochelle's form might have worsened.Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Section Paloise's recent form is better than expected.
La Rochelle - Section Paloise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.29) |
24.91 ↑
(21.6) |
2.84 ↓
(4.15) |
7.9%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 55.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
What is the prediction for La Rochelle - Section Paloise?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -7.5 - Section Paloise (1.84) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Section Paloise will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Section Paloise will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Section Paloise (votes: 8 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 32:25.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Rochelle won 3.
- In this match, La Rochelle is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Rochelle won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 653:430. (average 32.7:21.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, La Rochelle won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 359:171. (average 39.9:19).
How many head-to-head matches has La Rochelle won against Section Paloise?
La Rochelle has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Section Paloise won against La Rochelle?
Section Paloise has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between La Rochelle - Section Paloise were as follows:
30.11.2025
Section Paloise
-
La Rochelle
53:33
07.06.2025
Section Paloise
-
La Rochelle
32:18
21.09.2024
La Rochelle
-
Section Paloise
49:25
18.05.2024
La Rochelle
-
Section Paloise
25:16
06.01.2024
Section Paloise
-
La Rochelle
20:29
Latest results of La Rochelle
Latest results of Section Paloise
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 20 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 795:438 | 71 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 591:514 | 59 |
| 3 | Stade Francais Paris | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 623:495 | 59 |
| 4 | Bordeaux Begles | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 656:520 | 59 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 610:452 | 57 |
| 6 | Clermont | 20 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 633:551 | 52 |
| 7 | Racing 92 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 583:606 | 50 |
| 8 | Castres Olympique | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 501:570 | 47 |
| 9 | Stade Rochelais | 20 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 586:519 | 45 |
| 10 | Aviron Bayonnais | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 553:636 | 45 |
| 11 | RC Toulonnais | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 512:618 | 45 |
| 12 | Lyon | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 570:551 | 44 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 20 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 408:563 | 23 |
| 14 | Montauban | 20 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 381:969 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
