Estepona vs La Unión – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
08/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainWebDirecto

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Davila Y. ,
  • 14', 1 - 1, Leon S. ,
  • 24', 2 - 1, Marin A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 73', 2 - 2, Davila Y. ,
  • 83', 3 - 2, Scepovic S. ,

Chances of winning


Estepona
43.3%
Draw
30.4%
La Unión
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 31.1% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 30.9% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • La Unión has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Estepona - La Unión Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.06)
    2.98
    (2.96)
    3.45
    (3.79)
    10.2%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • Estepona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • La Unión's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Estepona might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estepona won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estepona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estepona - La Unión were as follows:
    04.01.2026 La Unión - Estepona 0:3
    30.03.2025 La Unión - Estepona 1:1
    17.11.2024 Estepona - La Unión 0:1
    28.04.2024 Estepona - La Unión 0:1
    16.12.2023 La Unión - Estepona 0:1
    Latest results of Estepona
    01.03.2026 Puente Genil - Estepona 1:0
    22.02.2026 Estepona - UCAM Murcia 2:0
    15.02.2026 Antoniano - Estepona 1:2
    08.02.2026 Estepona - Xerez CD 0:0
    01.02.2026 Real Jaén - Estepona 0:0
    Latest results of La Unión
    01.03.2026 La Unión - Almeria B 1:0
    15.02.2026 La Unión - Águilas 1:3
    25.01.2026 Melilla - La Unión 2:2
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Xerez CD28156730:21951
    2Deportiva Minera28155840:271350
    3UCAM Murcia28147741:32949
    4Aguilas FC28147736:221449
    5Recreativo Huelva28139635:171848
    6CD Extremadura281211542:321047
    7Jaen28129734:28645
    8Lorca Deportiva281261028:28042
    9Linares28912732:37-539
    10Yeclano281141325:25037
    11La Union281061234:35-136
    12Antoniano281061231:33-236
    13Xerez D.F.C288101031:33-234
    14Puente Genil28891123:31-833
    15CD Estepona28861429:38-930
    16Melilla286111127:30-329
    17Almeria B28471720:40-2019
    18Malaga B ✔ 28352022:51-2914

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    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Malaga B is Relegated to