Result
0:3
04/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | WebDirecto |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Baradji S. ⚽,
- 8', 0 - 2, Tato R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', 0 - 3, Caro J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
La Unión
53.7% | Draw
29% | Estepona
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Unión's form might have worsened.Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estepona's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (+13.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Unión, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estepona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
La Unión - Estepona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.41) |
3.14 ↓
(3.6) |
5.25 ↓
(8.45) |
10%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- La Unión is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Estepona has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- La Unión may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, La Unión is the clear favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, La Unión won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, La Unión won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has La Unión won against Estepona?
La Unión has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estepona won against La Unión?
Estepona has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between La Unión - Estepona were as follows:
30.03.2025
La Unión
-
Estepona
1:1
17.11.2024
Estepona
-
La Unión
0:1
28.04.2024
Estepona
-
La Unión
0:1
16.12.2023
La Unión
-
Estepona
0:1
Latest results of La Unión
Latest results of Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aguilas FC | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 32:18 | 14 | 46 |
| 2 | Recreativo Huelva | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 34:16 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | UCAM Murcia | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Jaen | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Deportiva Minera | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34:24 | 10 | 41 |
| 7 | CD Extremadura | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 37:29 | 8 | 39 |
| 8 | Lorca Deportiva | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Linares | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 29:33 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Yeclano | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 21:23 | -2 | 33 |
| 11 | La Union | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 33 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 32 |
| 13 | Puente Genil | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 22:27 | -5 | 32 |
| 14 | Xerez D.F.C | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 15 | Melilla | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
| 16 | CD Estepona | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23:35 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 18:35 | -17 | 18 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 19:43 | -24 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
