Result
3:2
08/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | WebDirecto |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Davila Y. ⚽,
- 14', 1 - 1, Leon S. ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 1, Marin A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 73', 2 - 2, Davila Y. ⚽,
- 83', 3 - 2, Scepovic S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Estepona
43.3% | Draw
30.4% | La Unión
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)La Unión has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Estepona - La Unión Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(2.06) |
2.98 ↑
(2.96) |
3.45 ↓
(3.79) |
10.2%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).
- Estepona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- La Unión's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Estepona might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estepona won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estepona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Estepona won against La Unión?
Estepona has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has La Unión won against Estepona?
La Unión has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estepona - La Unión were as follows:
04.01.2026
La Unión
-
Estepona
0:3
30.03.2025
La Unión
-
Estepona
1:1
17.11.2024
Estepona
-
La Unión
0:1
28.04.2024
Estepona
-
La Unión
0:1
16.12.2023
La Unión
-
Estepona
0:1
Latest results of Estepona
Latest results of La Unión
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 16 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 17 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 20 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 8 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 10 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 16 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 8 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | -3 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 0 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | -4 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez D.F.C. ✔ | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla ✔ | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B ✔ | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | -27 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | -34 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Xerez D.F.C. is Relegated to
Melilla is Relegated to
Almeria B is Relegated to
Malaga B is Relegated to
