Arandina vs La Virgen del Camino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
11/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 45', 1 - 0, ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 90', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Arandina
38.3%
Draw
32.4%
La Virgen del Camino
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 33.1% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 32.5% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • La Virgen del Camino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Virgen del Camino than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Arandina - La Virgen del Camino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.53)
    2.81
    (2.73)
    3.12
    (2.9)
    9.6%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arandina won 2.
    • Arandina is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, La Virgen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Arandina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Arandina won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arandina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arandina - La Virgen del Camino were as follows:
    06.12.2025 La Virgen del Camino - Arandina 1:1
    05.04.2025 Arandina - La Virgen del Camino 1:1
    16.11.2024 La Virgen del Camino - Arandina 1:0
    26.02.2023 Arandina - La Virgen del Camino 1:0
    22.10.2022 La Virgen del Camino - Arandina 1:2
    Latest results of Arandina
    Latest results of La Virgen del Camino
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Tordesillas30226256:183872
    2Guijuelo30196546:232363
    3Palencia CA30185743:212259
    4Palencia CF30184850:321858
    5Santa Marta Tormes30175847:262156
    6Mansilles291211626:24247
    7Almazan291111746:331344
    8La Virgen301281027:29-244
    9Mirandes B301271135:26943
    10Villaralbo30981323:31-835
    11Leonesa B301051532:40-835
    12Colegios Diocesanos30961528:48-2033
    13Arandina30881426:39-1332
    14Bembibre30781528:42-1429
    15CD Mojados30591624:49-2524
    16Numancia B30651925:49-2423
    17Becerril30571835:54-1922
    18Unionistas B303131429:42-1322

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