Result
3:1
11/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 90', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arandina 38.3% | Draw 32.4% | La Virgen del Camino 29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)La Virgen del Camino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Virgen del Camino than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Arandina - La Virgen del Camino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.38 ↓ (2.53) |
2.81 ↑ (2.73) |
3.12 ↑ (2.9) |
9.6% (10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arandina won 2.
- Arandina is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, La Virgen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Arandina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Arandina won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arandina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Arandina won against La Virgen del Camino?
Arandina has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has La Virgen del Camino won against Arandina?
La Virgen del Camino has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arandina - La Virgen del Camino were as follows:
06.12.2025
La Virgen del Camino
-
Arandina
1:1
05.04.2025
Arandina
-
La Virgen del Camino
1:1
16.11.2024
La Virgen del Camino
-
Arandina
1:0
26.02.2023
Arandina
-
La Virgen del Camino
1:0
22.10.2022
La Virgen del Camino
-
Arandina
1:2
Latest results of Arandina
Latest results of La Virgen del Camino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Tordesillas | 33 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 62:20 | 42 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 50:26 | 24 | 67 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 46:23 | 23 | 65 |
| 4 | Santa Marta Tormes | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 22 | 61 |
| 5 | Palencia CF | 33 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 55:38 | 17 | 61 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 56 |
| 7 | Almazan | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 48:37 | 11 | 47 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 39:33 | 6 | 44 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 27:33 | -6 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 37:42 | -5 | 41 |
| 12 | Arandina | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32:44 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 32:52 | -20 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:48 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas B | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 26:54 | -28 | 28 |
| 17 | Becerril | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39:60 | -21 | 26 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 26:55 | -29 | 24 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )
Relegation