Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense vs Lagarto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Lagarto
28/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
13
Corner Kicks
72
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
119
Corner Kicks
72
Goalkeeper Saves
30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Will ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
64.6%
Draw
22.5%
Lagarto
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 20.4% 14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3% 20% 14.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Lagarto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.38)
    4.05
    (4.4)
    7.08
    (6.1)
    9.6%
    (11.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, ASA is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ASA won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, ASA won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Lagarto were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Lagarto - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 0:0
    Latest results of Lagarto
    16.06.2025 Lagarto - Jequié 2:1
    11.06.2025 Juazeirense - Lagarto 2:1
    31.05.2025 Lagarto - Juazeirense 3:1
    25.05.2025 Jequié - Lagarto 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2