Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense vs Lagarto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Lagarto
28/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
13
Corner Kicks
72
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
119
Corner Kicks
72
Goalkeeper Saves
30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Will ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
64.6%
Draw
22.5%
Lagarto
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 20.4% 14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3% 20% 14.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Lagarto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.38)
    4.05
    (4.4)
    7.08
    (6.1)
    9.6%
    (11.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, ASA is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ASA won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, ASA won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Lagarto were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Lagarto - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 0:0
    Latest results of Lagarto
    16.06.2025 Lagarto - Jequié 2:1
    11.06.2025 Juazeirense - Lagarto 2:1
    31.05.2025 Lagarto - Juazeirense 3:1
    25.05.2025 Jequié - Lagarto 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1