Carmópolis vs Lagarto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano Carmópolis - Lagarto
Result
1:1
22/02/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Sergipano - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilIT tv Plus

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Ronan ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 71', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Carmópolis
14.2%
Draw
22.9%
Lagarto
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 30.7% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 31.5% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carmópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carmópolis's form might have worsened.
  • Lagarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lagarto's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmópolis than the current prediction. (+19.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carmópolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (-27.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lagarto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carmópolis - Lagarto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.46
    (2.75)
    3.99
    (2.95)
    1.45
    (2.5)
    9.4%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 1 and 3).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Rochester won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Rochester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Rochester have a series of home games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Rochester won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 70:68 (average 3.5:3.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Rochester won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 37:31 (average 4.1:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carmópolis - Lagarto were as follows:
    17.02.2024 Lagarto - Carmópolis 2:0
    Latest results of Carmópolis
    10.02.2025 Falcon - Carmópolis 3:2
    03.02.2025 Barra SE - Carmópolis 3:2
    26.01.2025 Carmópolis - Confiança 1:2
    18.01.2025 Dorense - Carmópolis 0:0
    Latest results of Lagarto
    16.02.2025 Sergipe - Lagarto 0:4
    08.02.2025 Lagarto - Itabaiana 0:1
    02.02.2025 Confiança - Lagarto 4:0
    26.01.2025 Lagarto - Dorense 1:1
    23.01.2025 Barra SE - Lagarto 0:5
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Confianca (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)Falcon (6)0 : 1
    3Itabaiana (2)Sergipe (7)2 : 0
    4America SE (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ConfiancaFalcon3 : 0, 2 : 1
    2ItabaianaAmerica SE1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1ConfiancaItabaiana1 : 1, 2 : 1