Lagarto vs Falcon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano Lagarto - Falcon
Result
0:1 penalties
05/03/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Sergipano - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilIT tv Plus

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Ueslei 🟨,
  • 45+13', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', 🟨,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Ronan (Pen),
  • 1, Zanatelli L. H. (Pen),
  • 2, Tiago Souza (Pen),
  • 2, Guilherme (Pen),
  • 3, Rhuan (Pen),
  • 3, Cotio L. (Pen),
  • 4, Soares (Pen),
  • 4, Theo Maia (Pen),

Chances of winning


Lagarto
59.7%
Draw
24.2%
Falcon
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 24.4% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4% 23.4% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Falcon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falcon than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Lagarto - Falcon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.51)
    3.75
    (3.75)
    5.61
    (6.17)
    10.3%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Recent matches Lagarto is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Falcon is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Lagarto is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lagarto won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.4:0.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lagarto won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lagarto - Falcon were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Lagarto - Falcon 3:0
    23.03.2024 Lagarto - Falcon 2:1
    16.03.2024 Falcon - Lagarto 0:0
    20.01.2024 Lagarto - Falcon 1:1
    21.01.2023 Lagarto - Falcon 1:0
    Latest results of Lagarto
    01.03.2025 Lagarto - Falcon 3:0
    22.02.2025 Carmópolis - Lagarto 1:1
    16.02.2025 Sergipe - Lagarto 0:4
    08.02.2025 Lagarto - Itabaiana 0:1
    02.02.2025 Confiança - Lagarto 4:0
    Latest results of Falcon
    01.03.2025 Lagarto - Falcon 3:0
    10.02.2025 Falcon - Carmópolis 3:2
    01.02.2025 Itabaiana - Falcon 4:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Confianca (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)Falcon (6)0 : 1
    3Itabaiana (2)Sergipe (7)2 : 0
    4America SE (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ConfiancaFalcon3 : 0, 2 : 1
    2ItabaianaAmerica SE1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1ConfiancaItabaiana1 : 1, 2 : 1