Sergipe vs Lagarto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Sergipe - Lagarto
Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
68
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
33
Total shots
68
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
33
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 0 - 1, Thierry ,
  • 62', 0 - 2, Thierry ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Matheus Sacramento ,

Chances of winning


Sergipe
45.1%
Draw
29.9%
Lagarto
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 27.5% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 27.8% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Sergipe - Lagarto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.02)
    3.03
    (3.3)
    3.62
    (3.27)
    10.5%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 2.
    • Sergipe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lagarto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sergipe might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sergipe won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sergipe - Lagarto were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Lagarto - Sergipe 0:3
    16.02.2025 Sergipe - Lagarto 0:4
    06.04.2024 Sergipe - Lagarto 2:1
    31.03.2024 Lagarto - Sergipe 1:1
    31.01.2024 Sergipe - Lagarto 0:0
    Latest results of Sergipe
    Latest results of Lagarto
    06.07.2025 Lagarto - Penedense 4:0
    16.06.2025 Lagarto - Jequié 2:1
    11.06.2025 Juazeirense - Lagarto 2:1
    31.05.2025 Lagarto - Juazeirense 3:1
    25.05.2025 Jequié - Lagarto 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1