Result
12/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Sergipe
45.3% | Draw
29.3% | Lagarto
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Sergipe - Lagarto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.02) |
3.09 ↓
(3.3) |
3.57 ↑
(3.27) |
10.5%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 2.
- Sergipe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lagarto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sergipe might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sergipe won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sergipe won against Lagarto?
Sergipe has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lagarto won against Sergipe?
Lagarto has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sergipe - Lagarto were as follows:
03.05.2025
Lagarto
-
Sergipe
0:3
16.02.2025
Sergipe
-
Lagarto
0:4
06.04.2024
Sergipe
-
Lagarto
2:1
31.03.2024
Lagarto
-
Sergipe
1:1
31.01.2024
Sergipe
-
Lagarto
0:0
Latest results of Sergipe
Latest results of Lagarto
Brazilian Serie D Table
2025Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Manauara | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:7 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Independencia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 4 | Manaus | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Aguia De Maraba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Trem | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | GAS | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Humaita | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10:41 | -31 | 1 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AE Altos ✔ | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 18:10 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Imperatriz | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 18 |
| 3 | Sampaio Correa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Parnahyba | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 5 | Maranhao | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Tocantinopolis | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 |
| 7 | Iguatu | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Maracana | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Santa Cruz ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Central SC ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 14:6 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | America RN | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:8 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Ferroviario | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz de Natal | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 13 |
| 6 | Sousa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Horizonte | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 11 |
| 8 | Treze PB | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 10 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ASA ✔ | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:8 | 15 | 24 |
| 2 | Sergipe | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Juazeirense | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 18 |
| 4 | Lagarto | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 5 | Jequie | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Uniao Carmolandense | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 7 | Barcelona | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
| 8 | SC Penedense | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 4 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aparecidense ✔ | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 18 | 25 |
| 2 | Ceilandia ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Luverdense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 20 |
| 4 | Mixto | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Capital | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Goiania | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 7 | Goianesia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 8 | Porto Velho | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 6 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portuguesa | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
| 2 | Rio Branco ES | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Marica | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 | Agua Santa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 | Pouso Alegre | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 14 |
| 6 | Nova Iguacu | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Porto Vitoria | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Boavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 9 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter de Limeira ✔ | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17:6 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Cianorte | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | Uberlandia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Goiatuba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Cascavel | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 14 |
| 6 | Monte Azul | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 7 | Operario MS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 10 |
| 8 | Itabirito | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9:16 | -7 | 10 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barra FC ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Joinville | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 20 |
| 3 | EC Sao Jose | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Marcilio Dias | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | Sao Luiz | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 12 |
| 6 | Guarany de Bage | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Azuriz | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6:10 | -4 | 11 |
| 8 | Brasil de Pelotas | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
AE Altos is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Central SC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
ASA is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Aparecidense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Ceilandia is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Inter de Limeira is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Barra FC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Sergipe - Lagarto?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
