União Carmolandense vs Lagarto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D União Carmolandense - Lagarto
Result
1:0
27/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 14

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
54
Total shots
106
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Gustavo Gomes ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


União Carmolandense
25.9%
Draw
29.7%
Lagarto
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 29.2% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 28.3% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • União Carmolandense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Lagarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Carmolandense than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • União Carmolandense - Lagarto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.51
    (3)
    3.06
    (3.1)
    2.05
    (2.22)
    9.9%
    (10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Lagarto is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Lagarto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Lagarto might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, União Carmolandense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between União Carmolandense - Lagarto were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Lagarto - União Carmolandense 2:1
    Latest results of Lagarto
    12.07.2025 Sergipe - Lagarto 1:2
    06.07.2025 Lagarto - Penedense 4:0
    16.06.2025 Lagarto - Jequié 2:1
    11.06.2025 Juazeirense - Lagarto 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao
    2America RNImperatriz
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz
    4ASAManauara
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES
    7MixtoCianorte
    8Barra FCCeilandia