Result
1:1
26/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 2.17 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
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| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
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| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
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| 83% (313/375) | 73% (198/270) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 2.17 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.56 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
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| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 35 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
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| 83% (313/375) | 73% (198/270) |
| Long passes |
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| 60% (34/57) | 42% (28/66) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 76% (90/119) | 58% (62/107) |
| Crosses |
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| 40% (10/25) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.94 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
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| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
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| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
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| 78% (7/9) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
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| 44 | 34 |
| Clearances |
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| 22 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.70 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.30 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Navanich T. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Willen Mota ⚽, Yodsangwal A. (A),
- 36', Navanich T. ↓, Noiwilai N. ↑,
- 40', Sattham J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mlapa P. ↓, Tapla B. ↑,
- 54', Ott Ma. ↓, Withunat W. ↑,
- 55', Ratree S. ↓, Ittiprasert P. ↑,
- 65', Yodsangwal A. ↓, Suriyachai S. ↑,
- 68', Amornlerdsak A. ↓, Romphopak S. ↑,
- 68', Nontharath K. ↓, Weslen Junior ↑,
- 70', Singmui S. ↓, Moonwong W. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Junior S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90', Justiniano L. ↓, Creevey M. ↑,
- 90', Tapla B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rayong FC 38.8% | Draw 27.5% | Lamphun Warriors 33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayong FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Lamphun Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayong FC than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayong FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lamphun Warriors than the current prediction. (-5%)
Rayong FC - Lamphun Warriors Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.37 ↑ (2.16) |
3.35 ↑ (3.32) |
2.73 ↓ (3.1) |
8.6% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).
- Rayong FC is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lamphun Warriors's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lamphun Warriors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayong FC won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rayong FC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Rayong FC won against Lamphun Warriors?
Rayong FC has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lamphun Warriors won against Rayong FC?
Lamphun Warriors has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rayong FC - Lamphun Warriors were as follows:
06.12.2025
Lamphun Warriors
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Rayong FC
2:2
17.02.2025
Rayong FC
-
Lamphun Warriors
2:3
29.09.2024
Lamphun Warriors
-
Rayong FC
4:1
Latest results of Rayong FC
Latest results of Lamphun Warriors
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 75:30 | 45 | 69 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 55:22 | 33 | 57 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 54:30 | 24 | 56 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 42:31 | 11 | 49 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 39:34 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 35:37 | -2 | 37 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 36 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya Utd | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 39:43 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 29 | 4 | 16 | 9 | 34:46 | -12 | 28 |
| 13 | Muang Thong Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 26 |
| 14 | Sukhothai | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 25 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:42 | -23 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 29:53 | -24 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )