Result
3:2
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 9', 1 - 0, Lawson D. ⚽,
- 26', 1 - 1, Gilchrist J. ⚽,
- 33', 2 - 1, Evangelinos N. ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 2, Gilchrist J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', 3 - 2, Bailey S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lancaster City
46% | Draw
26.5% | Ashton United
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Lancaster City - Ashton United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.18) |
3.44 ↓
(3.51) |
3.32 ↑
(3.01) |
9.7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 2.
- Lancaster has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ashton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ashton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Lancaster has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lancaster won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lancaster City won against Ashton United?
Lancaster City has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ashton United won against Lancaster City?
Ashton United has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lancaster City - Ashton United were as follows:
20.09.2025
Ashton United
-
Lancaster City
1:3
15.02.2025
Ashton United
-
Lancaster City
2:1
19.10.2024
Lancaster City
-
Ashton United
2:2
05.03.2024
Ashton United
-
Lancaster City
5:0
14.11.2023
Lancaster City
-
Ashton United
2:1
Latest results of Lancaster City
Latest results of Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 60:36 | 24 | 59 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 43:26 | 17 | 57 |
| 3 | FC United | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 46:28 | 18 | 56 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 54 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 42:31 | 11 | 51 |
| 6 | Stockton | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 50:35 | 15 | 49 |
| 7 | Lancaster | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 41:36 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Bamber Bridge | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 46:33 | 13 | 46 |
| 9 | Warrington | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 37:51 | -14 | 43 |
| 10 | Ilkeston | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 44:47 | -3 | 40 |
| 11 | Ashton Utd | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 35:41 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Guiseley | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 39 |
| 13 | Whitby | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 37 |
| 14 | Leek | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 38:46 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 | Cleethorpes | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 39:34 | 5 | 35 |
| 16 | Rushall | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 35 |
| 17 | Hyde | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 46:54 | -8 | 32 |
| 18 | Prescot | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 32 |
| 19 | Stocksbridge | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 31:52 | -21 | 30 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 28:41 | -13 | 29 |
| 21 | Workington | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 31:48 | -17 | 29 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
