Result
3:2
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 9', 1 - 0, Lawson D. ⚽,
- 26', 1 - 1, Gilchrist J. ⚽,
- 33', 2 - 1, Evangelinos N. ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 2, Gilchrist J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', 3 - 2, Bailey S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lancaster City
46% | Draw
26.5% | Ashton United
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Lancaster City - Ashton United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.18) |
3.44 ↓
(3.51) |
3.32 ↑
(3.01) |
9.7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 2.
- Lancaster has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ashton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ashton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Lancaster has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lancaster won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lancaster City won against Ashton United?
Lancaster City has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ashton United won against Lancaster City?
Ashton United has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lancaster City - Ashton United were as follows:
20.09.2025
Ashton United
-
Lancaster City
1:3
15.02.2025
Ashton United
-
Lancaster City
2:1
19.10.2024
Lancaster City
-
Ashton United
2:2
05.03.2024
Ashton United
-
Lancaster City
5:0
14.11.2023
Lancaster City
-
Ashton United
2:1
Latest results of Lancaster City
Latest results of Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 73 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 58:32 | 26 | 73 |
| 3 | FC United | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 62:36 | 26 | 71 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 58:40 | 18 | 67 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 59 |
| 6 | Stockton | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 58:47 | 11 | 58 |
| 7 | Lancaster | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 53:44 | 9 | 58 |
| 8 | Cleethorpes | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 56:46 | 10 | 54 |
| 9 | Leek | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:50 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 | Ashton Utd | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:50 | -7 | 51 |
| 11 | Bamber Bridge | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 51:48 | 3 | 50 |
| 12 | Ilkeston | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 49:52 | -3 | 48 |
| 13 | Warrington | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 41:58 | -17 | 48 |
| 14 | Guiseley | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 45:55 | -10 | 47 |
| 15 | Rushall | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 47:59 | -12 | 44 |
| 16 | Whitby | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:52 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Hyde | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 54:62 | -8 | 41 |
| 18 | Workington | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 40:55 | -15 | 40 |
| 19 | Morpeth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 36:53 | -17 | 39 |
| 20 | Prescot | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 36:49 | -13 | 36 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 38:63 | -25 | 35 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
