Ashton United vs Lancaster City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English NPL Premier Division Ashton United - Lancaster City
Result
1:3
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Premier Division - Round 11

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Lawson D. ,
  • 24', 0 - 2, Joe Amison ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', 0 - 3, Bailey S. (Pen),
  • 60', 1 - 3, Navarro L. ,
  • 71', Horne B. D. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Ashton United
25.2%
Draw
27%
Lancaster City
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 27% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 28.5% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ashton United's form might have worsened.
  • Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lancaster City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+22.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ashton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-21.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lancaster City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ashton United - Lancaster City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.91
    (2.02)
    4.59
    (3.36)
    2.6
    (3.22)
    -19.3%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 3.
    • Ashton is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lancaster is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ashton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ashton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ashton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ashton United - Lancaster City were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Ashton United - Lancaster City 2:1
    19.10.2024 Lancaster City - Ashton United 2:2
    05.03.2024 Ashton United - Lancaster City 5:0
    14.11.2023 Lancaster City - Ashton United 2:1
    30.09.2023 Lancaster City - Ashton United 0:2
    Latest results of Ashton United
    Latest results of Lancaster City
    English NPL Premier Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lancaster1172217:9823
    2Stockton1155122:121020
    3Hednesford1062214:9520
    4Gainsborough1061311:9219
    5Warrington Rylands1146116:12418
    6FC United952212:5717
    7Prescot1237211:10116
    8Hebburn Town1043315:16-115
    9Ilkeston1250714:17-315
    10Cleethorpes1042415:10514
    11Guiseley1142513:14-114
    12Bamber Bridge934214:11313
    13Ashton Utd934211:8313
    14Rushall934211:9213
    15Leek1141614:18-413
    16Whitby1133512:17-512
    17Hyde1032517:21-411
    18Stocksbridge1014511:15-47
    19Warrington81344:12-86
    20Workington111378:21-136
    21Morpeth91265:12-75

          Promotion ~ National League North
          Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
          Relegation