Result
3:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Parker S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', 2 - 0, Parker S. ⚽,
- 60', 3 - 0, L'Varn B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ilkeston
37% | Draw
26.7% | Lancaster City
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Ilkeston - Lancaster City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(2.47) |
3.4 ↓
(3.72) |
2.49 ↑
(2.47) |
10.3%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).
- In recent matches, Ilkeston has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lancaster is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ilkeston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Lancaster has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilkeston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilkeston won against Lancaster City?
Ilkeston has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lancaster City won against Ilkeston?
Lancaster City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilkeston - Lancaster City were as follows:
13.09.2025
Lancaster City
-
Ilkeston
3:1
15.03.2025
Ilkeston
-
Lancaster City
4:0
09.11.2024
Lancaster City
-
Ilkeston
4:3
10.02.2024
Ilkeston
-
Lancaster City
2:3
23.09.2023
Lancaster City
-
Ilkeston
0:4
Latest results of Ilkeston
Latest results of Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hednesford | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 43:26 | 17 | 57 |
| 2 | Hebburn Town | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 57:36 | 21 | 56 |
| 3 | FC United | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 46:28 | 18 | 56 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 54 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 42:31 | 11 | 51 |
| 6 | Stockton | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 50:35 | 15 | 49 |
| 7 | Lancaster | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 41:36 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Bamber Bridge | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 46:33 | 13 | 46 |
| 9 | Warrington | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 37:51 | -14 | 43 |
| 10 | Ilkeston | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 44:47 | -3 | 40 |
| 11 | Ashton Utd | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 35:41 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Guiseley | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 39 |
| 13 | Leek | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 38:46 | -8 | 37 |
| 14 | Cleethorpes | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 39:31 | 8 | 35 |
| 15 | Rushall | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 35 |
| 16 | Whitby | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 34 |
| 17 | Hyde | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 46:54 | -8 | 32 |
| 18 | Prescot | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 32 |
| 19 | Stocksbridge | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 31:49 | -18 | 30 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 28:41 | -13 | 29 |
| 21 | Workington | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 31:48 | -17 | 29 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
