Result
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Lancaster City
38.5% | Draw
27.4% | Ilkeston
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Lancaster City - Ilkeston Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.27) |
3.32 ↑
(3.28) |
2.66 ↓
(2.79) |
10.1%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 14).
- Lancaster is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ilkeston is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that Lancaster will win today's game, with odds of 2.27.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.8:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lancaster won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lancaster City won against Ilkeston?
Lancaster City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilkeston won against Lancaster City?
Ilkeston has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lancaster City - Ilkeston were as follows:
15.03.2025
Ilkeston
-
Lancaster City
4:0
09.11.2024
Lancaster City
-
Ilkeston
4:3
10.02.2024
Ilkeston
-
Lancaster City
2:3
23.09.2023
Lancaster City
-
Ilkeston
0:4
Latest results of Lancaster City
Latest results of Ilkeston
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC United | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Lancaster | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Gainsborough | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Hednesford | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Stockton | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Rushall | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Leek | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Warrington Rylands | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Ashton Utd | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 10 | Bamber Bridge | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Whitby | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Prescot | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Ilkeston | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | Cleethorpes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Hebburn Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 8 |
| 17 | Hyde | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Warrington | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 19 | Workington | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:15 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
