Result
3:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Parker S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', 2 - 0, Parker S. ⚽,
- 60', 3 - 0, L'Varn B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ilkeston
37% | Draw
26.7% | Lancaster City
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Ilkeston - Lancaster City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(2.47) |
3.4 ↓
(3.72) |
2.49 ↑
(2.47) |
10.3%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).
- In recent matches, Ilkeston has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lancaster is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ilkeston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Lancaster has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilkeston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilkeston won against Lancaster City?
Ilkeston has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lancaster City won against Ilkeston?
Lancaster City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilkeston - Lancaster City were as follows:
13.09.2025
Lancaster City
-
Ilkeston
3:1
15.03.2025
Ilkeston
-
Lancaster City
4:0
09.11.2024
Lancaster City
-
Ilkeston
4:3
10.02.2024
Ilkeston
-
Lancaster City
2:3
23.09.2023
Lancaster City
-
Ilkeston
0:4
Latest results of Ilkeston
Latest results of Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC United | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53:31 | 22 | 65 |
| 2 | Hebburn Town | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 62:37 | 25 | 64 |
| 3 | Hednesford | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:28 | 21 | 64 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 51:38 | 13 | 57 |
| 5 | Stockton | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 55 |
| 6 | Gainsborough | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 46:34 | 12 | 55 |
| 7 | Lancaster | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Warrington | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 40:54 | -14 | 47 |
| 9 | Bamber Bridge | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 47:40 | 7 | 46 |
| 10 | Ashton Utd | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 45 |
| 11 | Cleethorpes | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 47:39 | 8 | 44 |
| 12 | Guiseley | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 43 |
| 13 | Ilkeston | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 44:48 | -4 | 41 |
| 14 | Leek | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Whitby | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37:45 | -8 | 38 |
| 16 | Rushall | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:52 | -13 | 38 |
| 17 | Prescot | 35 | 7 | 15 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 36 |
| 18 | Morpeth | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:45 | -12 | 36 |
| 19 | Workington | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:49 | -14 | 36 |
| 20 | Hyde | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 48:60 | -12 | 33 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 33:56 | -23 | 32 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
