Result
2:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 31
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Bailey C. ⚽,
- 11', 1 - 1, Heath C. ⚽,
- 41', 2 - 1, Evangelinos N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Lancaster City
46% | Draw
25.9% | Leek Town
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Lancaster City - Leek Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.07) |
3.54 ↓
(3.56) |
3.26 ↑
(3.2) |
9.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 12).
- In recent matches, Lancaster has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Leek is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lancaster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Lancaster could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Lancaster won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lancaster City won against Leek Town?
Lancaster City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leek Town won against Lancaster City?
Leek Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lancaster City - Leek Town were as follows:
11.10.2025
Leek Town
-
Lancaster City
0:1
18.01.2025
Leek Town
-
Lancaster City
2:1
01.10.2024
Lancaster City
-
Leek Town
0:1
Latest results of Lancaster City
Latest results of Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hednesford | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 43:26 | 17 | 57 |
| 2 | Hebburn Town | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 57:36 | 21 | 56 |
| 3 | FC United | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 46:28 | 18 | 56 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 54 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 42:31 | 11 | 51 |
| 6 | Stockton | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 50:35 | 15 | 49 |
| 7 | Lancaster | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 41:36 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Bamber Bridge | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 46:33 | 13 | 46 |
| 9 | Warrington | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 37:51 | -14 | 43 |
| 10 | Ilkeston | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 44:47 | -3 | 40 |
| 11 | Ashton Utd | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 35:41 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Guiseley | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 39 |
| 13 | Leek | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 38:46 | -8 | 37 |
| 14 | Cleethorpes | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 39:31 | 8 | 35 |
| 15 | Rushall | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 35 |
| 16 | Whitby | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 34 |
| 17 | Hyde | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 46:54 | -8 | 32 |
| 18 | Prescot | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 32 |
| 19 | Stocksbridge | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 31:49 | -18 | 30 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 28:41 | -13 | 29 |
| 21 | Workington | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 31:48 | -17 | 29 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
