Leek Town vs Lancaster City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English NPL Premier Division Leek Town - Lancaster City
Result
0:1
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Premier Division - Round 13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+3', 0 - 1, Amison J. ,

Chances of winning


Leek Town
29.1%
Draw
25.2%
Lancaster City
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.6% 24.1% 56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19% 23.4% 57.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leek Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leek Town's performance.
  • Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lancaster City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leek Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lancaster City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leek Town - Lancaster City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.18
    (4.61)
    3.68
    (3.75)
    2.03
    (1.61)
    8%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).
    • In recent matches, Leek has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lancaster is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lancaster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Lancaster could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leek won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Leek won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leek Town - Lancaster City were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Leek Town - Lancaster City 2:1
    01.10.2024 Lancaster City - Leek Town 0:1
    Latest results of Leek Town
    04.10.2025 Halesowen Town - Leek Town 1:2
    20.09.2025 Leek Town - Ilkeston 1:2
    09.09.2025 Hyde United - Leek Town 1:2
    Latest results of Lancaster City
    English NPL Premier Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Warrington Rylands1577125:18728
    2Lancaster1483320:12827
    3FC United1282217:61126
    4Gainsborough1271413:11222
    5Hednesford1263315:11421
    6Whitby1563621:22-121
    7Stockton1255223:14920
    8Bamber Bridge1254320:12819
    9Ashton Utd1254316:13319
    10Ilkeston1461720:20019
    11Cleethorpes1453620:16418
    12Prescot1438313:13017
    13Hebburn Town1344518:22-416
    14Rushall1344515:20-516
    15Hyde1243520:23-315
    16Stocksbridge1335517:19-214
    17Leek1342717:22-514
    18Guiseley1442814:21-714
    19Warrington1133510:16-612
    20Morpeth1222811:18-78
    21Workington131399:25-166

          Promotion ~ National League North
          Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
          Relegation