Result
2:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 31
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Bailey C. ⚽,
- 11', 1 - 1, Heath C. ⚽,
- 41', 2 - 1, Evangelinos N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Lancaster City
46% | Draw
25.9% | Leek Town
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Lancaster City - Leek Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.07) |
3.54 ↓
(3.56) |
3.26 ↑
(3.2) |
9.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 12).
- In recent matches, Lancaster has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Leek is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lancaster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Lancaster could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Lancaster won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lancaster City won against Leek Town?
Lancaster City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leek Town won against Lancaster City?
Leek Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lancaster City - Leek Town were as follows:
11.10.2025
Leek Town
-
Lancaster City
0:1
18.01.2025
Leek Town
-
Lancaster City
2:1
01.10.2024
Lancaster City
-
Leek Town
0:1
Latest results of Lancaster City
Latest results of Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 73 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 58:32 | 26 | 73 |
| 3 | FC United | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 62:36 | 26 | 71 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 58:40 | 18 | 67 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 59 |
| 6 | Stockton | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 58:47 | 11 | 58 |
| 7 | Lancaster | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 53:44 | 9 | 58 |
| 8 | Cleethorpes | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 56:46 | 10 | 54 |
| 9 | Leek | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:50 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 | Ashton Utd | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:50 | -7 | 51 |
| 11 | Bamber Bridge | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 51:48 | 3 | 50 |
| 12 | Ilkeston | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 49:52 | -3 | 48 |
| 13 | Warrington | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 41:58 | -17 | 48 |
| 14 | Guiseley | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 45:55 | -10 | 47 |
| 15 | Rushall | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 47:59 | -12 | 44 |
| 16 | Whitby | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:52 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Hyde | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 54:62 | -8 | 41 |
| 18 | Workington | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 40:55 | -15 | 40 |
| 19 | Morpeth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 36:53 | -17 | 39 |
| 20 | Prescot | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 36:49 | -13 | 36 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 38:63 | -25 | 35 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
