Result
0:2
09/05/2024 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV |
 Australia | beIN Sports |
 Brazil | ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 102 | 74 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 74 | 28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Bou W. ⚽, Marcelino Moreno (A),
- 37', Aguerre A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Boggio L. ↓, Caceres J. ↑,
- 46', Canales E. ↓, Erustes P. ↑,
- 46', Cornejo M. ↓, Chicaiza L. ↑,
- 50', Caicedo L. 🟨,
- 54', 0 - 2, Marcelino Moreno ⚽,
- 55', Marcelino Moreno 🟨,
- 58', Beltran C. 🟨,
- 61', Bazan J. ↓, Perleche E. ↑,
- 61', Gentile G. ↓, Cuero M. ↑,
- 67', Loaiza R. 🟨,
- 69', Urruti L. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
- 72', Lotti A. ↓, Watson F. N. ↑,
- 73', Aguirre B. ↓, Carrera R. ↑,
- 80', Bou W. 🟨,
- 81', Bou W. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 84', Loaiza R. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
- 90', Gomez A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Garcilaso
34.7% | Draw
29% | Lanús
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Garcilaso's form might have worsened.Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Deportivo Garcilaso - Lanús Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.31) |
3.22 ↓
(3.27) |
2.57 ↓
(2.97) |
7%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Lanús?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Lanús will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Deportivo Garcilaso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Lanús?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Lanús has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Lanús were as follows:
11.04.2024
Lanús
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
2:1
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
