Result
2:3 ET
26/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Recopa Sudamericana - Final
- Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Ecuador | ESPN 2 |
 Greece | ERT 2, ERT Sports 2 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.24 | 1.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 77% | 23% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (716/795) | 61% (144/236) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.24 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 2.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (716/795) | 61% (144/236) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (36/60) | 40% (29/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (190/232) | 43% (33/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (7/44) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (20/28) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 89 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.52 | 2.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | 0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Castillo R. ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Samuel Lino ↓, Everton ↑,
- 58', Carrascal J. ↓, Pedro ↑,
- 64', Salvio E. ↓, Sepulveda M. ↑,
- 64', Plata G. ↓, Lucas Paqueta ↑,
- 64', Evertton Araujo ↓, Jorginho ↑,
- 69', Carrera R. 🟨,
- 69', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 70', Carrera R. ↓, Besozzi L. ↑,
- 75', Varela G. ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Jorginho (Penalty Awarded),
- 88', Pulgar E. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 2)
- 92', Danilo ↓, Leo Ortiz ↑,
- 96', Cardozo A. ↓, Pena Biafore F. ↑,
- 96', Castillo R. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
- 105', Guidara T. 🟨,
- 105', Guidara T. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
- 118', 2 - 2, Canale Dominguez J. ⚽, Sepulveda M. (A),
- 120+1', Lucas Paqueta 🟨,
- 120+2', 2 - 3, Aquino D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Flamengo
70.2% | Draw
21.2% | Lanús
8.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Flamengo - Lanús Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.46) |
4.35 ↑
(3.79) |
10.9 ↑
(9.1) |
6.3%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Flamengo - Lanús?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Lanús will win (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Flamengo (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-1. Second leg.
- Flamengo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lanús has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Flamengo is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Flamengo will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Flamengo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Lanús?
Flamengo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Flamengo?
Lanús has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Lanús were as follows:
19.02.2026
Lanús
-
Flamengo
1:0
Latest results of Flamengo
Draw
2026Final| 1 | Lanus | Flamengo RJ | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
